PodParley PodParley
PodParley PodParley
Log in

3-12-26 The “Value Rotation” Illusion

The market narrative says investors are rotating …

An episode of the The Real Investment Show (Full Show) podcast, hosted by Lance Roberts, titled "3-12-26 The “Value Rotation” Illusion" was published on March 12, 2026 and runs 43 minutes.

March 12, 2026 ·43m · The Real Investment Show (Full Show)

0:00 / 0:00

Summary

The market narrative says investors are rotating out of expensive growth stocks and into cheaper value stocks. But is that actually happening? Jon Penn and Michael Lebowitz explain how today’s passive investing landscape can distort traditional definitions of value and growth. ETF flows and index-driven allocations often send capital into the largest and most popular companies, regardless of valuation. Using our three-tier valuation framework—past earnings, forward earnings, and growth-adjusted valuations—we show how investors can better separate stocks that simply look cheap from those that may represent genuine value. We also discuss why traditional screens like low P/E ratios can lead investors into value traps, and how market narratives, psychology, and passive flows can create large valuation gaps across sectors and companies. Understanding the difference between perceived value and true value is critical in today’s market environment. Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:20 - Before the Bell - Markets Making Lower Highs and Lower Lows 2:56 - Dealing with Trapped Longs 5:32 - Negative Divergences Send Warnings 7:35 - Our Strategies Now 11:26 - The Price of Oil & U.S. Dollar 13:52 - Impact of Dollar on Gold, Silver, Precious Metals 17:41 - The Momentum Chase 18:25 - $200 Crude & Futures Markets 22:15 - Crude Oil & Gasoline Futures curves 25:24 - CPI vs Core CPI & The Fed 30:32 - Jerome Powell, Kevin Warsh, & Fed Stance 33:22 - The Value Rotation Illusion 35:51 - What is Value? 38:55 - How Airlines Really Make Money 41:40 - Market Commentary & Blog posting ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 3/21/26, and Ask Us Anything: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/ask-us-anything/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/jW9UWP7WdZY ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Day: Technical Breakdown in the S&P 500: What Comes Next?" here: https://youtube.com/live/B2diF0UUrjs ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Technical Deterioration: Risk Management Is Key" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technical-deterioration-an-analysis-of-the-markets-next-move/ "True Value: Looking Through The Value Rotation Illusion" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/true-value-looking-through-the-value-rotation-illusion/ -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Reclaim 100-DMA," is here: https://youtu.be/MntZ-KayzxA ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #ValueInvesting #StockMarket #PassiveInvesting #MarketAnalysis #InvestorEducation

Episode Description

The market narrative says investors are rotating out of expensive growth stocks and into cheaper value stocks. But is that actually happening? Jon Penn and Michael Lebowitz explain how today’s passive investing landscape can distort traditional definitions of value and growth. ETF flows and index-driven allocations often send capital into the largest and most popular companies, regardless of valuation. Using our three-tier valuation framework—past earnings, forward earnings, and growth-adjusted valuations—we show how investors can better separate stocks that simply look cheap from those that may represent genuine value. We also discuss why traditional screens like low P/E ratios can lead investors into value traps, and how market narratives, psychology, and passive flows can create large valuation gaps across sectors and companies. Understanding the difference between perceived value and true value is critical in today’s market environment. Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:20 - Before the Bell - Markets Making Lower Highs and Lower Lows 2:56 - Dealing with Trapped Longs 5:32 - Negative Divergences Send Warnings 7:35 - Our Strategies Now 11:26 - The Price of Oil & U.S. Dollar 13:52 - Impact of Dollar on Gold, Silver, Precious Metals 17:41 - The Momentum Chase 18:25 - $200 Crude & Futures Markets 22:15 - Crude Oil & Gasoline Futures curves 25:24 - CPI vs Core CPI & The Fed 30:32 - Jerome Powell, Kevin Warsh, & Fed Stance 33:22 - The Value Rotation Illusion 35:51 - What is Value? 38:55 - How Airlines Really Make Money 41:40 - Market Commentary & Blog posting ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 3/21/26, and Ask Us Anything: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/ask-us-anything/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/jW9UWP7WdZY ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Day: Technical Breakdown in the S&P 500: What Comes Next?" here: https://youtube.com/live/B2diF0UUrjs ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Technical Deterioration: Risk Management Is Key" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technical-deterioration-an-analysis-of-the-markets-next-move/ "True Value: Looking Through The Value Rotation Illusion" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/true-value-looking-through-the-value-rotation-illusion/ -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Reclaim 100-DMA," is here: https://youtu.be/MntZ-KayzxA ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #ValueInvesting #StockMarket #PassiveInvesting #MarketAnalysis #InvestorEducation

Share this episode

Similar Episodes

TBT: When are Mortgage Rates Too High?

Apr 9, 2026 ·32m

He Retired His Spouse with Passive Income after 6 Months… What’s Next?

Apr 7, 2026 ·40m

TBT: Is It Wise to Buy Real Estate When Interest Rates are Rising?

Apr 2, 2026 ·27m

The White House Wants to Give You $1,000 for Retirement

Apr 2, 2026 ·11m

TBT: Financing Multiple Properties with Only One Salary

Mar 26, 2026 ·11m

TBT: Investing in Condos and Neighborhood Grades

Mar 19, 2026 ·16m

Similar Podcasts

Make the Deal: Real Estate Investing with David Blatt David Blatt This show offers expert advice on real estate investing from CapStack Partners CEO, David Blatt.CapStack Partners is an investment bank and investment manager focused on the real estate, hospitality, infrastructure and energy industries. As CEO, David Blatt leads all of CapStack’s investment banking and principal investing activities. Over the last fifteen years, he has been involved in the negotiating and structuring of countless transactions and brings an expert level understanding to successfully capitalizing and closing a deal. For more information, please visit: https://www.capstackpartners.comhttps://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3LUVd_n98UbyOKvn9VLScghttps://www.twitter.com/capstackceohttps://www.linkedin.com/capstackceo_davidblatthttps://www.facebook.com/David-Blatt-1395744087199314/https://plus.google.com/111313444823344430223 Real Estate Coffee Talk Sarah Hilton Welcome to Real Estate Coffee Talk, your go-to weekly show for all things real estate! Join us every week as we sit down with industry experts from various sectors of the real estate world. Whether you're a seasoned real estate agent, or just getting started, this show channel offers invaluable insights to help you learn, grow, and scale your real estate business. 🔑 What We Offer:Pro Tips from Real Estate ExpertsStrategies for Generating & Converting DealsAdvice on Building a Referral NetworkMarket Trends & Investment AnalysisHome Buying & Selling TipsDon't miss out on the late The Financial Answer with Nathan O’Bryant Nathan O’ Bryant The Financial Answer is hosted by Nathan O’ Bryant, founder of O’Bryant & Associates, Inc., an investment advisory firm registered in Tennessee and Arkansas. Drawing on over 20 years of experience in financial planning, Nathan shares insights on a wide range of topics including retirement income strategies, tax planning, market trends, Social Security, portfolio management, and more. The show explores the real questions people face when planning for their financial future, offering clear explanations and thoughtful discussion to help listeners make informed decisions. No topic is off limits as Nathan breaks down both timely developments and foundational principles of personal finance. The Jay Conner Show Jay Conner Jay Conner reveals his real estate investment and wealth building strategies centered around finding investment properties, funding deals with private money, and flipping those properties in as little as 3 days!
URL copied to clipboard!