3-23-26 200-DMA Broken – Bear Market or Buy Signal episode artwork

EPISODE · Mar 23, 2026 · 42 MIN

3-23-26 200-DMA Broken – Bear Market or Buy Signal

from The Real Investment Show (Full Show) · host Lance Roberts

The S&P 500 just broke its 200-day moving average. Is this a bear market signal or a historic buying opportunity? The answer depends on a clear set of warning indicators – and right now, only two of six are flashing red. Lance Roberts comments in real-time as news of a delay in miliary strikes on Iran power stations affects pre-market action. Lance also breaks down every 200-DMA break since 2000, separating the seven sustained crashes from the five whipsaw recoveries. The data gap is stark: average 12-month return after a sustained break is -4.0%, versus +19.8% after a brief one. We walk through the six-factor scorecard and tell you exactly where today's break stands. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 1:14 - Market Volatility & End of Quarter 4:20 - Claude.AI & Tokens 6:42 - Houston Meteor 7:25 - Markets Break 200-DMA 13:54 - How Markets Work with Catalysts 18:50 - When markets Break the 200-DMA 25:13 - Paying Attention to Sentiment 27:26 - How to Differentiate between Brief vs Sustained Breaks 31:08 - What to do Next 34:18 - Why CDX Spreads Matter 39:44 - Dollar Plumbing, Gold, & Central Banks ------- Register for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Beyond Filing: Turning Your Tax Return into a Strategic Financial Plan," Thursday, April 2, at 12-noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/j9BYjeW2teTJ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/VlxdVnhyKR4?feature=share ------- Watch our previous show, "Tax Strategies That Actually Save You Money," https://youtube.com/live/IvotNMC_fgk ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "The 200-DMA Just Broke: What Every Investor Should Know" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-200-dma-just-broke-what-every-investor-should-know/ "The Dollar’s Plumbing: Conspiracy Vs. Data" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-plumbing-conspiracy-vs-data/ "CDX: Credit Spreads Are Flashing A Warning" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cdx-credit-spreads-are-flashing-a-warning/ -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Trump-Iran News Reverses Futures" is here: https://youtu.be/9qem93AR4jI ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PreMarket #StockMarket #200DMA #MarketAnalysis #TradingAlerts #SP500 #StockMarket #InvestingStrategy #BearMarket #TechnicalAnalysis

The S&P 500 just broke its 200-day moving average. Is this a bear market signal or a historic buying opportunity? The answer depends on a clear set of warning indicators – and right now, only two of six are flashing red. Lance Roberts comments in real-time as news of a delay in miliary strikes on Iran power stations affects pre-market action. Lance also breaks down every 200-DMA break since 2000, separating the seven sustained crashes from the five whipsaw recoveries. The data gap is stark: average 12-month return after a sustained break is -4.0%, versus +19.8% after a brief one. We walk through the six-factor scorecard and tell you exactly where today's break stands. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 1:14 - Market Volatility & End of Quarter 4:20 - Claude.AI & Tokens 6:42 - Houston Meteor 7:25 - Markets Break 200-DMA 13:54 - How Markets Work with Catalysts 18:50 - When markets Break the 200-DMA 25:13 - Paying Attention to Sentiment 27:26 - How to Differentiate between Brief vs Sustained Breaks 31:08 - What to do Next 34:18 - Why CDX Spreads Matter 39:44 - Dollar Plumbing, Gold, & Central Banks ------- Register for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Beyond Filing: Turning Your Tax Return into a Strategic Financial Plan," Thursday, April 2, at 12-noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/j9BYjeW2teTJ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/VlxdVnhyKR4?feature=share ------- Watch our previous show, "Tax Strategies That Actually Save You Money," https://youtube.com/live/IvotNMC_fgk ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "The 200-DMA Just Broke: What Every Investor Should Know" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-200-dma-just-broke-what-every-investor-should-know/ "The Dollar’s Plumbing: Conspiracy Vs. Data" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-plumbing-conspiracy-vs-data/ "CDX: Credit Spreads Are Flashing A Warning" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cdx-credit-spreads-are-flashing-a-warning/ -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Trump-Iran News Reverses Futures" is here: https://youtu.be/9qem93AR4jI ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PreMarket #StockMarket #200DMA #MarketAnalysis #TradingAlerts #SP500 #StockMarket #InvestingStrategy #BearMarket #TechnicalAnalysis

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3-23-26 200-DMA Broken – Bear Market or Buy Signal

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This episode was published on March 23, 2026.

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The S&P 500 just broke its 200-day moving average. Is this a bear market signal or a historic buying opportunity? The answer depends on a clear set of warning indicators – and right now, only two of six are flashing red. Lance Roberts comments in...

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