EPISODE · Sep 23, 2024 · 53 MIN
385: AI Snake Oil
from Tech Policy Podcast · host TechFreedom
Sayash Kapoor (Princeton) discusses the incoherence of precise p(doom) predictions and the pervasiveness of AI “snake oil.” Check out his and Arvind Narayanan’s new book, AI Snake Oil: What Artificial Intelligence Can Do, What It Can’t, and How to Tell the Difference.Topics include:What’s a prediction, really?p(doom): your guess is as good as anyone’sFreakishly chaotic creatures (us, that is)AI can’t predict the impact of AIGaming AI with invisible inkLife is luck—let’s act like itSuperintelligence (us, that is)The bitter lessonAI danger: sweat the small stuffLinks:AI Snake Oil: What Artificial Intelligence Can Do, What It Can’t, and How to Tell the DifferenceAI Existential Risk Probabilities Are Too Unreliable to Inform Policy AI Snake Oil (Substack)
What this episode covers
Sayash Kapoor (Princeton) discusses the incoherence of precise p(doom) predictions and the pervasiveness of AI “snake oil.” Check out his and Arvind Narayanan’s new book, AI Snake Oil: What Artificial Intelligence Can Do, What It Can’t, and How to Tell the Difference. Topics include: - What’s a prediction, really? - p(doom): your guess is as good as anyone’s - Freakishly chaotic creatures (us, that is) - AI can’t predict the impact of AI - Gaming AI with invisible ink - Life is luck—let’s act like it - Superintelligence (us, that is) - The bitter lesson - AI danger: sweat the small stuff Links: AI Snake Oil: What Artificial Intelligence Can Do, What It Can’t, and How to Tell the Difference (https://tinyurl.com/4v3byma9) AI Existential Risk Probabilities Are Too Unreliable to Inform Policy (https://tinyurl.com/fdrcu5s6) AI Snake Oil (Substack) (https://tinyurl.com/2chwfrka)
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385: AI Snake Oil
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