4-20-26 Chase or Fade the Rally episode artwork

EPISODE · Apr 20, 2026 · 44 MIN

4-20-26 Chase or Fade the Rally

from The Real Investment Show (Full Show) · host Lance Roberts

Markets have surged back to all-time highs—but now comes the key decision: chase the rally, or fade it? Lance Roberts breaks down whether this rally has staying power or if investors should be cautious at current levels. We analyze short covering vs. true accumulation, sector rotation, and the impact of falling oil prices and changing inflation expectations. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 1:01 - April Doing What It Does Best 3:16 - The Recent Correction is Over 4:50 - Don't Chase the Rally 10:03 - Why the Market Rebound was Stronger than Expected 13:35 - Why Behavioral Investing Leads to Poor Outcomes 16:57 - Technical charting of Over Sold / Over Bought Composite 19:39 - The Fear-Greed Composite 22:02 - Everyone Has a Reason to Hate the Rally 22:58 - Testing the Negative Narratives 26:33 - Secular Bull/Bear Periods Happen - How to Prepare? 28:33 - Why Panic is a Costly Mistake 33:00 - Bearish Sentiment Remains 35:27 - Don't Bail Out of This Rally 37:24 - Seven Portfolio Actions to Take Right Now ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/Uz93eoE43pc ------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Watch our previous show, "Your Longevity Score: Are You Ready?" https://youtube.com/live/-2PqycDpJfw ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Don’t Chase This Rally" is here: https://youtu.be/gbk9otKae2Q ------- Resources Mentioned in Today's Show: "Short Covering Rally Or Is The Bull Market Back?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/short-covering-rally-or-correction-over/ "Market Lesson: Why Panic Is A Costly Mistake" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-lesson-dont-waste-being-bailed-out/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #PortfolioManagement #StockMarket #MarketRally #Investing #TradingStrategy #MarketOutlook

Markets have surged back to all-time highs—but now comes the key decision: chase the rally, or fade it? Lance Roberts breaks down whether this rally has staying power or if investors should be cautious at current levels. We analyze short covering vs. true accumulation, sector rotation, and the impact of falling oil prices and changing inflation expectations. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 1:01 - April Doing What It Does Best 3:16 - The Recent Correction is Over 4:50 - Don't Chase the Rally 10:03 - Why the Market Rebound was Stronger than Expected 13:35 - Why Behavioral Investing Leads to Poor Outcomes 16:57 - Technical charting of Over Sold / Over Bought Composite 19:39 - The Fear-Greed Composite 22:02 - Everyone Has a Reason to Hate the Rally 22:58 - Testing the Negative Narratives 26:33 - Secular Bull/Bear Periods Happen - How to Prepare? 28:33 - Why Panic is a Costly Mistake 33:00 - Bearish Sentiment Remains 35:27 - Don't Bail Out of This Rally 37:24 - Seven Portfolio Actions to Take Right Now ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/Uz93eoE43pc ------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Watch our previous show, "Your Longevity Score: Are You Ready?" https://youtube.com/live/-2PqycDpJfw ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Don’t Chase This Rally" is here: https://youtu.be/gbk9otKae2Q ------- Resources Mentioned in Today's Show: "Short Covering Rally Or Is The Bull Market Back?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/short-covering-rally-or-correction-over/ "Market Lesson: Why Panic Is A Costly Mistake" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-lesson-dont-waste-being-bailed-out/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #PortfolioManagement #StockMarket #MarketRally #Investing #TradingStrategy #MarketOutlook

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4-20-26 Chase or Fade the Rally

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This episode was published on April 20, 2026.

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Markets have surged back to all-time highs—but now comes the key decision: chase the rally, or fade it? Lance Roberts breaks down whether this rally has staying power or if investors should be cautious at current levels. We analyze short covering...

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