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4-9-25 Liquidity Cracks

China retaliates to Trump's retaliation to China'…

An episode of the The Real Investment Show (Full Show) podcast, hosted by Lance Roberts, titled "4-9-25 Liquidity Cracks" was published on April 9, 2025 and runs 45 minutes.

April 9, 2025 ·45m · The Real Investment Show (Full Show)

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Summary

China retaliates to Trump's retaliation to China's tit-for-tat response to tariffs; downward pressure continues as markets trying to recalibrate with a moving tariff target; there are cracks appearing in the treasury market from the basis trade; what will the Fed do? Lance explains the latest gyrations in markets and the sharp rise in bond yields. Basis trade explained; appears to be at 20X leverage: Is someone getting margin calls and liquidating? Tariffs are not the issue here; will the Fed step in? Wall Mart reports earnings, but cannot provide guidance until tariff trouble is resolved. How much money does it take to move markets one-point? Slowing economy = less demand = high unemployment. It's going to get worse before it gets better. There is an alarming trend of 401k early withdrawals; "leakage" has been a problem for a while. Lance and Danny examine the eruption in the bond market; don't over react. The VIX has spiked, but is moderating. What will the Fed do? The best tariff trade is the Roth conversion. SEG-1: Tit-for-tat on Tariffs SEG-2: What is the Basis Trade? SEG-3: It's Going to Get Worse Before It Gets Better SEG-4: Eruption in the Bond Market Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oo_zfOuvXVw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2705s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Stupidity And The 5-Laws Not To Follow" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/stupidity-and-the-5-laws-not-to-follow/ "Corporate Yield Spreads Start To Widen" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/daily-market-commentary/ "The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/ "The “Liberation Day” Tariffs Crash The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-liberation-day-tariffs-crash-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Yields Belie Market Instability," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pnT6n_NY_tY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Markets Rally; What's Next?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aLv00PZtAHM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #LiquidityCrisis #MarketVolatility #FinancialStress #CreditCrunch #FedWatch #BondYields #MarketInstability #BasisTrade #ETF #Liquidity #StockMarketRally #MarketOutlook2025 #InvestingInsights #FinanceNews #EconomicTrends #MarketCrash2025 #FearAndFinance #InvestingInUncertainty #FinancialCrisis #HopeInTheCrash #EarningsImpact #TariffEffect #MarketAnalysis #InvestorInsight #TradeWar2025 #MarketBottom #TariffWar #BondMarket #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Episode Description

China retaliates to Trump's retaliation to China's tit-for-tat response to tariffs; downward pressure continues as markets trying to recalibrate with a moving tariff target; there are cracks appearing in the treasury market from the basis trade; what will the Fed do? Lance explains the latest gyrations in markets and the sharp rise in bond yields. Basis trade explained; appears to be at 20X leverage: Is someone getting margin calls and liquidating? Tariffs are not the issue here; will the Fed step in? Wall Mart reports earnings, but cannot provide guidance until tariff trouble is resolved. How much money does it take to move markets one-point? Slowing economy = less demand = high unemployment. It's going to get worse before it gets better. There is an alarming trend of 401k early withdrawals; "leakage" has been a problem for a while. Lance and Danny examine the eruption in the bond market; don't over react. The VIX has spiked, but is moderating. What will the Fed do? The best tariff trade is the Roth conversion. SEG-1: Tit-for-tat on Tariffs SEG-2: What is the Basis Trade? SEG-3: It's Going to Get Worse Before It Gets Better SEG-4: Eruption in the Bond Market Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oo_zfOuvXVw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2705s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Stupidity And The 5-Laws Not To Follow" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/stupidity-and-the-5-laws-not-to-follow/ "Corporate Yield Spreads Start To Widen" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/daily-market-commentary/ "The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/ "The “Liberation Day” Tariffs Crash The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-liberation-day-tariffs-crash-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Yields Belie Market Instability," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pnT6n_NY_tY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Markets Rally; What's Next?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aLv00PZtAHM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #LiquidityCrisis #MarketVolatility #FinancialStress #CreditCrunch #FedWatch #BondYields #MarketInstability #BasisTrade #ETF #Liquidity #StockMarketRally #MarketOutlook2025 #InvestingInsights #FinanceNews #EconomicTrends #MarketCrash2025 #FearAndFinance #InvestingInUncertainty #FinancialCrisis #HopeInTheCrash #EarningsImpact #TariffEffect #MarketAnalysis #InvestorInsight #TradeWar2025 #MarketBottom #TariffWar #BondMarket #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

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