5.2% Dividend Stock To Watch - Nutrien Stock

Nutrien Dividend Stock Analysis - A stock to watch! THE KEYS WHEN IT COMES TO NUTRIEN: - Low cost potash producer with 6 million tonnes production ramp up option at extremely low cost and 50 years of production ahead - gives a margin of safety, also the high margins protect the dividend - Integrated with retail after the merger with Agrium contributing $650 million in synergies - the retail segment is not as volatile as the fertilizer segment which gives also more stability to the dividend - $2 billion cash flow at the bottom, or possible bottom, of the fertilizer cycle. Even if cash flows fall to just $1 billion, that is what they pay out for dividends, thus still some room left - Good distributions to shareholders and sound balance sheet - strong buybacks and dividends from free cash flows - Possible growth coming from potential higher fertilizer pricing but also from operations as the constantly invest for growth. This could be a long-term compounder and dividend growth stock. Don't expect the dividend to grow linearly because the business isn't such, but it can grow - Potash is an oligopoly with 9 global players playing the prisoners dilemma game with China and India on pricing and production rates - Global demand is likely to grow but production growth has also a lot of potential. However, expansion is not cheap - The market is expecting lower for longer potash prices that would put pressure on the company and perhaps lower dividends - The trend is for an increase in demand for potash over the long-term. - Stock is at multi decade lows. - To make it a great stock to buy, a low risk high reward one, the market cap needs to be around $12 billion! So, depending on your risk appetite, see whether it is a stock to buy or a stock to watch. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) Stock Ideas and Analyses for The Small Investor: https://goo.gl/GdKEoe I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD