This is the Value Investor podcast with Tracy Rinek, all things value all the time. Welcome back value investors. So with Tesla busting out to yet another new all-time high, I realize that this can be somewhat demoralizing to many of us value investors, right? Because it's now trading at 172 times.
It's been much more expensive than that in the past, actually, but it's nowhere near a value stock by any of the classical definitions. And even if you look at it on a non-classical definition, I would say it's also not a value stock. So again, I know many of you are looking at that or the all-time highs in some of these tech expensive names and thinking, how can this keep going? Where we headed to?
Should I keep buying my boring value stocks? Maybe I should sell those and just dive in, right? This is when we get questioning what it is we're doing as value investors. But my advice to you all is to stay focused.
There are plenty of outstanding value stocks with great returns that are out there. They might not all be in tech or social media or cyber security or any of those hotter areas, but that doesn't mean you can't be a successful investor and grow your wealth by being in these old-style, so to speak, types of companies. And in Booster Spirits this week, I'm going to talk about five of what I call 10-year value superstars. Because someone on Twitter tweeted out that Tesla is up 26,000% in the last 10 years since its IPO, essentially.
And while none of the value superstars that I could find were up anywhere even close to that, not even close, you don't need to have a 26,000% winner, but of course that would be fantastic, but you don't have to have that again to meet your investing goals, grow your wealth, and live your dreams, right? So I didn't really screen for this because there's no real way to look and be like, hey, someone needs to tell me what are the value stocks that have done real well over the last 10 years. So I basically just plugged in ones that I thought might have done well based on some of the lists I've seen of the best performing stocks, a couple of the podcasts I've done, where the compounding advisor guys have talked about at the top 30 best performing S&P 500 stocks of the last 30 years. And I figured, well, if they're making those lists in the last 30 years, probably over the last 10, some of them have done still very well over the last decade.
And many of them were the value-ish type names, believe it or not. So some of these are more expensive now than they were 10 years ago when their mini-brally began. But that doesn't mean they still don't have some value components. Maybe you shouldn't keep them on your wish list or when there is a pullback or if they can get cheaper because they're growing their earnings.
That's what I like to do. I like to keep track of some of these names that might still have another leg up here as this rally continues. So let's dive right in and see what are these stocks that they have all outperformed the S&P 500 over the last 10 years. And they were the time fairly cheap.
And they're not too bad right now. So let's dive right in. So the first one, no one should be really surprised. I have owned the stock at least one time in my value investor portfolio here at Zax.
I've owned its competitors because healthcare and health insurance has been hot over the last 10 years. So the first stock is United Health Group ticker UNH. And over the last 10 years, it's up to 767% versus the S&P 500 up to 243% during that time. It's even outperforming the QQQQ, which is up an amazing 471.9% in the last 10 years.
The QQQQQ is dominated by those big tech names, the big growth stocks. So United Health is even outperforming that. So very impressive. Now in 2011, that's right after the Obamacare would have passed.
And so the health insurers got a lot of new customers because everybody had a buy health insurance and that's when the rally began. So the median PE, and I looked at the forward piece because I'm still looking at the forward P today. So the forward P in 2011 was just 10.7. This is why I've owned it in the value investor portfolio in the past.
And right now it's trading about 24 times. So again, this is one of the ones that is more expensive now. And the median for this year is around 21 times. So not altogether as cheap.
Your date stack is still up 29.5%. So still hitting you all time highs and still with the nice rally there. Your today beating the S&P 500 year today, which is up by think about 23% right now. So United Health still got something left in the tank even after the 10 year rally.
And that was ticker UNH. Okay, then we're going to switch it over to the boring transports. And no one should be surprised that I picked out one of the railroads. They have been hidden gems with several, at least one of them, making the top 30 lists of the S&P 500 and even in the top 10 of the last 30 years.
But that stock was Kansas City Southern. This one is Union Pacific, UNP, also one of my favorites. I want to say I might have owned it in the value investor at some point as well because I try to get the rails in on any kind of pullback, but I've owned various ones in the value investor over the years. This one 10 year performance up 335%, still beating the S&P 500 up 243%.
But not as good as the triple Q's. But we're trying to beat the S&P 500 and this one is doing that. In 2011, it was trading at 15.6 times. So right around the value area that we would be looking for back then and 2021, it's now just like United Health trading around 24 times.
So it is more expensive. The median for this year is about 22.6. Shares are up 15.8% year to date. So they are trailing the S&P 500.
Oh, wait, this one did make the list of the top 30 of the S&P 500 over the last 30 years. So through July, this is some interesting info. Through July 2021, $10,000 invested in their IPO, which was in 1991, was returned 3.15 million over all that time. But that's 30 years of holding now.
They've been public. So you would have had hold through all those ups and downs. But if you did it, you would have ended up with 3.1 million or an annualized return of 21.3%, very impressive there. In July, they were number 25 on the top 30 list.
Okay, moving on from that to retail. Yes, there are always some big retail winners out there. Some kind of concept that just catches on. And I'm not talking about Amazon.
I'm talking about Home Depot ticker HD. They went public in the 1980s. I want to say 1981 and shares for the last 10 years as even after the housing bust were up 804% in that time period. They're also this year in 2021 as we're still nesting at home.
We're still putting in the new kitchens. We're still renovating and buying things for the home up 40.8% year to date. So still driving higher. So in 2011, you paid a little bit of a premium for the stock, but not horrible.
It was at 16 times. That wasn't horrible in 2011. Not as cheap as I would have liked to get it, but 16 times. Right now it's at 26 times.
So a lot more expensive, but you still have those earnings on the increase and year to date up 40.8%. You also get a dividend yielding 1.8%. And interestingly, even though Home Depot has had these spurts with these big rallies, it is not on the list of the 30 stacks. And I always thought it must have just been right off of the 30, which ends with annualized gains of just over 20%.
So the annualized must be maybe 18, 19%. I'm guessing from Home Depot since its IPO or in the last 30 years. So yes, Home Depot, then a great performer over the last 10 years. We'll see what happens going forward.
HD is the ticker. And then I thought about doing Costco because I knew that that was a great performer over the last 10 years. But when I looked at the valuations, I realized in 2011 it was still very pricey trading at like 22 times or something. And right now it's at like 40 times.
So then I was like, nah, I can find something cheaper than the Costco, but that's been a great haul too. That one was of 346% over the last 10 years to step away. So instead I went to Ross stores, a stock you may not be considering, but this discount retailer, very popular in over the last 10 years, up 408%. Yes, just basic Ross stores ticker R-O-S-T.
R-O-S-T is a ticker. And it was trading at 16 times back in 2011. So also a little bit more pricey like Home Depot. But in 2021 it's gotten a lot more pricey just like Home Depot as well, around 25 times or so right now.
And here to date though, these shares actually down 9.1%. People getting a little bit jittery on the apparel on these kind of discount retailers that rely on the stores. And maybe, you know, maybe even jittery about supply chain issues we'll see when they report earnings. But yeah, shares down considerably.
So you might want to look at adding this to your watch list perhaps. The PE also has really been fluctuating for a lot of these companies during the pandemic, especially these retailers. So Ross stores to start the year because its earnings were hammered last year, it had a PE of 84 times because that E was just, you know, crushed down, but it had rallied off those coronavirus lows. So keep that in mind when you're looking at some of these stocks that the PEs are still a little bit unusual because of what's happening with the pandemic.
But Ross stores almost beating, well, definitely beating the S&P 500, trying to catch the QQQs up 471%, the QQQs, Ross stores up 408 in that time period. And then we're going to wrap it up with a course or maybe not, of course, you might be thinking, what else is she going to do? But a bank, yes, JP Morgan Chase. So this was 2011, just a few years after the bank bust, after the Great Recession, and no one wanted to own any of the banks.
And they've had their ups and downs over the last 10 years. It's what I consider to be still in a bear market and maybe just starting to come out of it. But even with those bad conditions, shares of JP Morgan over the last 10 years, still up 337%. So still easily beating the S&P 500 at 243.
Year to date, it's had a nice rally, up 32.4%. And they were, as you might imagine, in 2011, dirt cheap at then, trading at 7.3 times forward was the median forward back then. 2021 right now, they're at 11, almost 12. Let's just call it 12, with a high of 14 that E starting to come up.
And if the rates are raised in the next year or two, that is only bullish for JP Morgan and all the banks, that's why I have them on my list as being entering into a bull market if those rates and the 10-year yield start to rise that helps the banks on the east side. So they'll still remain cheap, but the E will be rising. That's a good combination. And I'm liking the banks here.
I do not own JP Morgan. I don't own any of the biggest banks. I only own some regionals in my own personal portfolio and in the value investor. But it's not too late, as I said, to think about some of these big banks.
I've talked about them many times on the show. And I know you're all like, that's so boring. But that's what happens when you come out of a bear market. It is boring.
They haven't done that much. Although JP Morgan certainly has done far better than most of the other banks that I have been watching. So it's good to pick out the winners and JP Morgan coming out of the financial crisis certainly was one of those and remains the premier bank of the big banks, I would say. So those are the five stocks that have been outperforming over the last 10 years.
Not too shabby. You wouldn't really be crying in your coffee if you owned any of these for all 10 years or even if you just got in a couple of years ago and have been able to catch some of this rally, they've been great performers. So keep that in mind. It's not all about the tech and it's not all about the new or the latest shiny new thing necessarily.
Value investors can still buy at the good valuations buying those fundamentals, the actual business and the earnings, not the possibility of the future. And they can still do well and get your goals, get your dreams, get your growth and your investment working for you. So let me recap those tickers again. We had UnitedHealth Group, UNH is the ticker there.
Union Pacific was the rails, UMP. And they've been around since about 1865 or so. So some things never go out of style, right? We still need the transports.
Home Depot, ticker HD. Then we had Ross stores, R-O-S-T. And I'll just throw Costco in there too, even though it's not a value right now. But COST because I mentioned it.
And JP Morgan, JPM is the ticker there. So some of these are kind of right in front of you. And it's easy to keep a list, as I said, of what stocks you think you might want to have your portfolio and what makes you interested and excited about investing. So try to head in those directions as well.
And as always, I've done other podcasts on how you can buy the FANG stocks or FANG men as they're maybe expanding it a bit because I own some of them in my own personal portfolio. And if you own the S&P 500 or the QQQs, you certainly own them. So I probably could be doing another podcast talking about that in the future. So you want to be sure to subscribe to get all of our podcasts, especially if you're feeling depressed about what's going on out there.
Make sure you join the value investors here. We're all in it together, right? And we're finding those opportunities in the stock market because they are out there. So be sure to subscribe somewhere and get us on Apple Podcasts.
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