The underdog is howling. This is Stanford Steve and the Bear. Ah yes, a home team getting points. What's better than that?
Welcome in to what has formerly been known as the Stanford Steve and the Bear Podcast. Stanford Steve has abandoned Travis and I, he's moved to the DMV and he's not receiving the Bear Podcast. As we've noted in the past, there's no longer. Steve is not actually.
That's actually Steve is. Steve is still here. He's not here this week. He's just on vacation.
I have his full blessing to do a pie. I told him I'm getting bored. I want to talk soccer. I want to talk baseball and he's like, do it.
You have my blessing. So here I am. I'm flying solo. Just myself.
Travis is dedicated. He's home in Ohio, but he still has the time and the ability to find his way to help us out here and be in Black Travis. How you doing? I'm doing good.
We still like to work. Steve, big superstar. Just takes a month off just because. But we'll grind.
We'll be okay. He'll get back at some point when he and the Tallaman are kicking their new sports center off down in. Down in DC. They've got some lightness too.
But we can't because we care. But I know it's serious. I figured with baseball starting back up, it'd be a good time to check in with John Murray from Westgate. Kick around some baseball props and see what people are maybe betting on in terms of the team.
Maybe some of the stuff as well. Talk around with him and as well the final weekend of the English Premier League. It would be a good opportunity to have a good friend Nigel Celion to talk about some of the final Sunday fixtures and what they mean. And relegation, promotion, Champions League, Europa League and see is the best of that there is.
But before we get to Nigel, just want to remind everybody to check out Marty Smith's America. This week you've got with Triple Jones, George and the Mountain's player, the NL having a DH and a whole lot more. Looking forward to seeing you this week, this year on our ESPN broadcast. Download and subscribe to Marty Smith's America as well as a Stanford Stephen the Bear podcast wherever you get your podcast.
Now let's have that chat with Nigel Celia as we preview a little bit of Champions League. We'll have him back on before then, but most certainly the final week of the English Premier League. We are happy again to be joined by Nigel Celia, Premier Sports, you can follow him. Obviously it's Celia underscore Nigel on Twitter and he is someone who has me a lot of his subscribers and visa listeners and followers on Twitter.
Very, very happy over the last few weeks for sure, especially on Tuesday afternoon with that nice villa outright win and a nice plus two or five to ten somewhere in that range. That worked out pretty well for all of us. Yeah, it was fantastic. Thanks for having me back again.
Very lovely to be joining you again on the final day of the Premier League season. Yeah, that was a great result. One of those matches, though, you actually thought about what could possibly happen in it all failed to plan. It doesn't really happen that many times.
And when it does, you've got to make the most of it. So I was absolutely delighted to see that and also offered very little, which I thought they would. They're all about the FA Cup final and a couple of weeks time and get to Chelsea. That's their priority.
And that's a bit of capital. I don't think that's the winner of that. Great. I thought they had some nervey moments, but you've got to write your luck sometimes and get in a bit of the rub of the green.
It gets the money in the back of the pocket in your pocket. So that was a good one. So thanks very much for that. It's been a good couple of weeks.
And I may make sure you check out Nigel's Twitter feed and his website, PremSportPlays.com to check out all of his information and being involved as a subscriber for the next season. Well, you hit on Arsenal and a full disclosure to our listeners here. We are recording this on Wednesday afternoon. Just ask the Manchester United match has kicked off in prior to the Liverpool Chelsea match.
So some things may differ based on the results of those matches, but one match, which really nothing will change based on the results of those matches is the, the Washboard Arsenal match. And they mentioned Arsenal beating Liverpool beating getting to the FA Cup Championship coming up a couple of weeks. You wouldn't think they would have much care about this match. But they sealed a pretty formidable lineup against Italy.
They weren't very good, but they did play their guys. And now they, they almost offered it to the Emirates and in Watford pretty much has to guarantee a win to kind of guarantee themselves safety. Maybe they're going to get into a goal differential situation with Villa and maybe born with Watford Arsenal. Do you think Watford can go to the Emirates and get a result?
I don't think they can. I really don't think they can. Watford have been disastrous at the very start of the season. Where the bookmakers very, very heavy odds on favourites to get relegated into the championship.
And they look certain season and they brought in a guy, Nigel Pearson, the great first name by the way, Nigel. And he came into the club and he gave a bit of confidence. And what did he get rewarded with? He had a bust up of the couple of players and they sacked him with two games to go.
When they needed him most, he could have got them out. And as soon as they got rid of the manager, that was it for me. It was curtains. They've given a novice, a rookie guy, a coach, an ex-player called Haven Monning's an opportunity.
He is like a rabbit in headlights. I mean, he's got absolutely no idea what he's led himself in for. They didn't perform at all against Manchester City. I know I meant to do a fantastic book on the side of the island to play.
But Watford was terrible. They have no goals in them. They have very low confidence. And they go to an Arsenal side.
Okay, admittedly, they have the FA Cup final to play next week, which we've highlighted on. But at the price, they're even money. Even money Arsenal? I mean, come on.
They've got to be minus money. How can they be even money against Watford's side? I will go against my argument slightly and I made about the FA Cup final for the Villagame because there's one game to go here. Bambi Yang still has a possibility of being a top Premier League goalscorer.
So I think he won't play. I think he won't take penalties. I think he won't take free kicks. And also, there's players playing for the FA Cup places.
You can't really tell you who's going to be the start of the 11th Arsenal at Wembley and on the 1st of August against Chelsea. So there's a lot to play for for this Arsenal side in this particular game. And I think it even money. That's a huge, huge, huge overreaction by the bookmakers.
I fully expect to see Arsenal start at minus 120 for this game. I think there'll be a big money for you. If you get evens or any plus money if it's still around, it's snapping up quick because this Watford side are internal. I would pretty much agree with that assessment there.
One match, which I don't think really has anything to do with much. Burnley versus Brighton. The Brighton Newcastle match the other day was probably one of the poorer matches. I've seen all season long.
If you're looking at Burnley, they've been an under machine. If you go back over the last 10 matches, the only one which saw more than two goals scored was the match against City. And this is a side that can finish as high as Ethan the table. So you would think that Burnley at home would be pretty motivated to win.
Do you think we could possibly see some gold in the skin? Well, I think Burnley at the prices are probably the best bet on the final week of the Premier League coupon. They're plus 135 and I think that's too big. I mean, they are weak in, weak out, underrated by the bookmakers.
And they're kind of bright and sorry. If this game was played around about sort of six weeks ago, seven weeks ago, the Neil Neil detector would have absolutely combusted. It would have blown up. The weather in London, the weather in London is hot.
And I'm telling you now, this would have overloading. It would have been hit. It would have absolutely combusted. But this is the last day of the season in the Premier League.
The last day of the season, the last day of the season, goals go up by about half a goal per game roughly. If you look at the average over 10 years and I think this is a game that most teams might have a co-each other. They might say, okay, we'll have a co- The reason I think that Burnley will win this game is because Sean Deish is a real, real good manager. And I think he's taken his Burnley club as far as he possibly can.
And I believe there may be a couple of manager drops coming up soon where he may be a candidate for. He may be a, you know, if Watford's staying in the Premier League, he's a former Watford player. He may fancy an opportunity. I don't know why he would do.
But I think he'll look for a bigger club, where the Watford or a bigger club and Burnley depends on the ambition he can spend. But Burnley do not spend any money. And this guy takes them to 8th and 7th and 7th. It's Arsenal and the Premier League takes it on top and they've got the fantastic stadium.
Unbelievable to see what he's done. And I think for that reason, the motivation is going to be there for Burnley. And I fully expect Burnley to win this. And probably for what is a high scoring game in Burnley matches, I'll go 1-0.
That's going to be a very high scoring game. It's speaking of really high scoring teams lately. Crystal Palace has been held scoreless to Nill. Six will have seven matches.
And now they host a Spurs team that's actually in their best form of the Harry Kane's playing quite well lately. We're going to test that theory on goals being up on your own half goal of the game. Crystal Palace, don't you think? Yeah, but I like the way you said through Gritted 2 for Harry Kane's playing quite well.
I know you're still in there. That's Pauli and my guy. Yeah, I know you've got a bit of a negative for Harry Kane. But on his day, he doesn't have a business.
So it doesn't matter how he does it. He gets you 25-20 goals a season when he's fit. And that's an attribute you've got. I mean, not all of them come from penalties, but he gets a job done.
I fully expect Tottenham to win this game. And we spoke about Sean Dies. Sean Dies could be a potential Crystal Palace manager as well because I don't think that Roy Hodgson will be there at the start of the season. I think he's tackling some of the big dates.
He's got a change in a squad that a lot of the start players want away. I think Tottenham will score. But again, it's difficult to have that win to Nill purely and simply because of the last day of season factor. This is the time that everyone goes over.
This is the time that everyone backs on both teams to score. So for that reason, I wouldn't be really rushing to bet that play. I could see where the logic comes from, but I wouldn't bet it. I'm going to throw one out there.
Will Fritz Sahar, Crystal Palace player, legend at the club. They're best player and their main talisman for many years. He's got to leave. He's a local boy.
He's born about two miles from Crystal Palace. I think Crystal Palace will be his last game for him. And I wouldn't be surprised to see him go to Tottenham next season. It's a kind of club.
He wants to stay in London. And if you want to stay in London, you've really only got Tottenham afterwards. She'll see. And I'm going to throw one out there.
Sahar to score in the game at any time. I think he may get a goal. I think Tottenham will win. I've got to go to Tottenham to win probably two or three one, but I don't think the win to nil is really that much of a play.
Pyeonin is simply because it's the last of this season. And Sahar, the legend at Crystal Palace, probably want to go out with a bit of a high. So throw one out there. Sahar to score anytime in the Tottenham.
And sometimes those markets that are out there are, if you're not like the side of the total, some of those other derivatives are fun ways to approach things. I know it's kind of tough to assess not knowing the result of Metro United West Ham. I'm going to go out on a limb and assume United wins today against West Ham. They go to Leicester, which probably will determine their final Champions League spot.
It seems like a very nerdy, low scoring match. If that is a situation, would you agree with that? I don't actually. I think goals.
I really do. I think that you can't look at a Manchester United game that they play now without seeing goals without attacking Flair Greenwood, Marcheale, Rashford. They're like the Red Arrows. The three of them go in at the same.
They're like a just supersonic pace right in the offensive defensive. They're terrible. I think only South Sky got his tactics completely wrong against Chelsea. And he was punished.
But I think in the Premier, there are different kind of fish. What I mean by that is a different opposition there. And I think Leicester will know that this is their cut final. They have to go.
Jamie Vardy going for the top score in the Premier League. The big thing for me is whether James Madison plays for Leicester. They've missed him. He's been out for four games.
James Madison pulls all the strings in that midfield. He's an England player who's a creative midfielder who creates all the chances for Vardy. If they have him in their side, they could go toe to toe with Manchester United. But without him, I can't see it.
But I do think that he goals. I would go for over two and a half goals here. I think if you look at the games between these sides, it's always been some high scoring matches. Jamie Vardy scored a lot of goals against Manchester United in the Premier League.
I think there will be goals. I think your argument is OK. It's a good argument to think that the nature of the game will be tight. But as soon as the goal goes in, then it opens up.
I think there could be an early goal here because the way the two sides are set up, they're both very attack minded. Leicester are without four, three of their regular back four at the moment. That opens up there to concede the goal. They've been consuming a lot of goals since the lockdown.
I would go over here. Nothing too major. But I think it's a good game. I expect both teams to score and a high score in entertaining.
But obviously, if it's nil, nil, half and 25, 30 minutes, then we could be in for a double fair. But I'm going to go up here. I'm going to go for goals. You're right.
The lack of that back four and then Madison. I guess the Catholics use allowing three against Spurs, but four or one versus one. It was definitely a very high-raising result. Yeah, but a lot of those goals come in the last ten minutes.
Three of those goals, if you look at the stats of the game, it was very misleading. Those goals really did come in late in the game. It was a sending off as well that changed the whole complexion of the match. But I think Leicester have known as they've gone through this bad run, they know that it's all about this one game.
They may have gone through the motion slightly just to have a real crack at Manchester 90. And the one thing that Manchester 90 are is weak at the back, in particular, weak at the goalkeeper. And if I was the manager at Leicester, I would be putting myself massively ill on the hair within five minutes. He's a guy lacking confidence in the moment.
Just get the ball straight in on him and rough him up after five minutes because his confidence is all over the place. You have, before the season, you had promoted Jimmy Vardy to lead lead goals, correct? Yeah, it was 20 to 20 to one. So we were on Jimmy Vardy at 20 to one.
Hopefully that will work out for you there. Liverpool and Newcastle, obviously Liverpool lifting the trophy today. Newcastle, nothing to play for really. Obviously, I think once they wrapped it up and officially got came back from the restart, got the point totally officially.
They're there for him. It's not been super. Obviously, I think they really missed Jordan Henry. You mentioned how Leicester, Mrs.
James Madison, I think Liverpool really misses Jordan Henderson a lot. I can see this being a match where you're going to clap. Gets a lot of his guys out there who might need that fifth game in order to get that champion, the league winner medal. I honestly have no idea what to expect from Liverpool, especially not knowing what we're going to see this afternoon versus Chelsea.
But I can see this not being a very high quality final day fixture. Possibly not. But I think the officers have been a value in terms of the betting. I mean, Liverpool, obviously, you've only got to look at their form since they've won the title that he's stepped.
They've been beaten a couple of times since that. They've rested a few players. One player would probably play with Adam Lelana. I think it's last game for Liverpool match.
I think, you know, look at someone like that. The amount of times that happens, if Liverpool get a penalty, they might give it to Lelana. Liverpool have nothing to play for. Everything they've tried to do, be unbeatable, hasn't happened.
Get the 100 points, hasn't happened. They've won the league. And I'll tell you what, this is a mighty celebration of Liverpool with their fans this evening. And I'm sure the players will be joining some way, whether it's not one-to-one, maybe on social media.
So I think there's going to be a huge emotion about them. And a bit of a lull coming back to work to play Newcastle three days after you've got your hands on the Premier League title. And Newcastle will have a club that they've got new owners next season. Mike Ashley's finally looks as though he's going to sell the club.
There's a lot of money coming in from Abu Dhabi. And potentially this talk of a huge amount of money going to be spent at Newcastle next season. They're linked with some unbelievably top-door players, some of the best players in European football. Now, so that means to me there's a lot of these players here who have something to prove.
The manager certainly has something to prove. He's under pressure because if the money comes in, he maybe this talk of Pochatino going there, the former top-door manager. So I'm looking at the odds here. I think nine-to-one.
Nine-to-one Newcastle to win this game is a big, big price. I think it's way too big. And it's also Newcastle plus one and a half goal is way too big. If Liverpool win this game, one nil, if Liverpool draw this game, nil, nil.
It means nothing to Liverpool. Absolutely nothing. These two sides have always played some very entertaining football matches over the years. And there's a lot of history between the two of them.
Kelly Dow bleached, famously managed both sides. And you know, not a player's have gone to play for Newcastle. Michael Owen has gone there's a big player's. So I'm really, really tempted to just have a bit of pizza money on the nine-to-one.
I really am. I think it's far too big. I mean, let's be realistic. If Liverpool were going for the title, say five weeks ago, what price would they be?
What odds would Newcastle be? They'd probably be the same price they'd be nine-to-one. Now, the titles wrapped up. Newcastle trying to impress new owners coming in, new manager, Liverpool, wrestling, loads of players, loads of young kids potentially playing to get their five caps.
And Newcastle's still nine-to-one. It's wrong. It's back. Newcastle is very small.
And it's certainly back to the one and a half on Newcastle and the handicap. That's a massive... I can't see Liverpool really wanting to go through and win this one or two or three, nil. I think get this done and go and celebrate your title success.
One, one, one, one, one, one, one, one, one, one. So it's been pretty good for him lately. It's Southampton. They fish-shift-fielding out.
Neither team really has any European ambitions here. Any idea of what to expect? Well, I think it's going to be quite tight. Defensive, they've used to be a very good defensive.
The only thing for anything in this game is Danny Inks. Danny Inks is trying to beat the top Premier League golf score. He's two behind Jamie Vardy and with Jamie Vardy playing Manchester United. He may feel this is an opportunity for him to get a couple of goals and beat the top Premier League golf score, which is a huge achievement for him and for an English player.
Now, English players are never very rarely the top goals score in the country. Obviously, Harry Kane has done that, but it's not an issue. He comes to an Aguero or a foreign player. So that is a huge achievement for him.
It's from an unfashionable club. It's tremendous. So the only angle I see here is Danny Inks to score, or maybe even score the first goal, because if you look at 22 players on that pitch, there's one player who's given 150% and the other's given 95% and that one player's Danny Inks. But essentially a small player, if you can get that market on Danny Inks to score at any time, or even Danny Inks to score the first goal in the game, which I think is around about four.
You can get about four dollars for your money, which I think is a decent price. Yeah, Villa got that big win against Arsenal. West Ham is safe. Would you think Villa comes out and just kind of very, very hesitant, very defensive minded early on and kind of react to what Watford's doing against Arsenal?
I think it's not that big. Yeah, this is a very difficult game to have a bet on pre-match because we are really betting on what's happening at the other game. As the Villa, we delightively is going to be Neil Neil. Both two sides could play out a very mundane, sports draw as long as Arsenal already won the L'Emmorance.
If there's a goal at the Emirates and Watford go one-wheel up, then we have a completely and utterly different match. I think you'll know a lot about West Ham's where they are after tonight's match against Manchester United. You'll see where the West Ham is still fancy, they've got a bit of appetite in them. If they lay down without a fight tonight, they may do the same again.
But I think this is one to avoid at all costs. I wouldn't have a bet on this game because there's too much going on elsewhere for us to have a real competition. Say for example, Manu Arsen had a three-wheel up with 60 minutes to go. We can see West Ham win two-wheel.
But if the game's one-wheel or a-wheel-wheel with ten minutes to go at the Emirates, it's a very, very different game. Really, this is one for in-play punters. I wouldn't really hazard a guess of where you should be putting your money pre-match. I would just keep this firm in your pocket and look like Bournemouth.
I remember the last time Stephen and I had you on, you went through all of the issues that were going on there. They laid some eggs early on after the restart. But there's still technically a sliver of hope that if they can win it, good as in, and somehow waftered it, Bill, lose it in getting that gold differential battle. This potentially, the Bournemouth ever to match, you could potentially see this maybe being a little bit wide open.
It's Bournemouth basically saying that we've got nothing to lose. We've got to win it. Hope so this could potentially be one of those four-tubing type of matches. Oh, without a shot, this is definitely one that's got goals written all over it.
It really has. I mean, Bournemouth only know one way to apply. That's why it's attacking. That's been their profitable season.
They just go all out of attack and have it really gone a plan. They did not prove a defensive mile, it minded. And that's why their manager, Eddie Howe, is such a sore-sauce after young manager because he has sort of no fear in the way he wants to play. The reverse fixture ended three, one to Bournemouth, one to Bournemouth, one to that game, three, one.
And I remember famously back in 2006, 2007 season, this game ended 6-3 to Everton in its mixture. And it was the most bizarre football match I think I've ever seen. I think the game was something like, I think it was four goals in the last four minutes of the game. It was two in the 90s, really.
I know that for definite. It was incredible. And that's the kind of game I expect. I mean, if you go back through the record to these two sides, it's always been goals.
They also had a three-three draw in the first year in the Premier League at this fixture in the reverse fixture. So this is a match that has a strong history and historic factor of goals. The two sides both like to attack, both sides are pretty weak defensively and I can include Everton in that because I think the goalkeeper Jordan Pickford has no way near being his best into the restart. And you've got to expect goals.
I think both teams of score definitely are a yes in this match and really it could be anything. But some form of will just try to end the season on a high go out with their heads held high because that's the nature of the club and the nature of the manager. And I don't think you'll care about what's going on in the end of the game. I just think they'll go out and try to entertain.
And I can see it's been a very, very high score in end-to-season day. Not only over two and a half, only over three and a half, I think it's probably the best bet because the over two and a half market is very, very short on the odds, very low ones. So I'm happy to go over three and a half goals here in what could be a really, really entertaining last-day in the season. It's hard really to ask you for a pick or a play on.
Wolves Chelsea, if we really don't know what results Chelsea will or will not need in order to guarantee Champions League qualification, but is there anything you're potentially looking for? What will have been under a team much of the year as well? But obviously I think what Chelsea needs to do will dictate the pace of this match. Is there anything that without knowing what happens this afternoon and actually what you'd be looking for in that match?
One thing I would say, I wouldn't think I would say, Barry, is that the way to make money on the Wolves game is not only about the unders, but it's always been to bet the draw at half time. And I think if I was leaning to have a bet now, that's the way I would go. I could see it's been a very, very cagey first half and then maybe open up in the second half. I can't see Wolves just suddenly changing the way they play that have done all season.
So a very, very small lean towards a draw at half time, but that would be my only lean. Like you say, it's so hard to have an opinion that we know what the script is set up for and then we can see how the bookies react and see whether they've gone too far or they haven't gone too far. But yeah, maybe a small lean on the draw at half time. And then we are certainly going to, we'll see if Steve decides to come back for vacation at some point and join us prior to Champions League.
I mean, that's a 50 50 proposition at this. So, but either way, whether he's with me or not, or it's just me. We're going to have you back on before Champions League start back here on August the 7th. I'll just throw it out there right now.
Assuming the four home teams advance and it looks like they each are pretty significant favorites to advance. So say we have City, City, Juventus, Leidzig, I let go Madrid, Barca Barcelona, Byron and Atlanta PSG, any, anything in those four potential fixtures that you'd prefer to take a look at it. Obviously they're the one like the quarter finals now, which I think really favors the random is back and you hit on that just united earlier about the way they attacked watching Atlanta. It just seems like there is so much open space every time they push forward.
They just find room and create a ton of opportunities and being someone who likes to root for a story. I think it will be fantastic if somehow they found a way to be PSG when they're 75 on match and get to the bottom of the with where the having a the center of the virus outbreak in that match in Italy and everything that happened so unfortunate in that in that country and in that town for Atlanta to put forward a for the whole run to the Champions League. Finally you talk about it aside with with so much to play board and entertaining side. I would think if you are not a fan of any of the teams remaining, there's got to be a good bit of you that are holding that Atlantic to pull this off.
Yeah, I really would like to say my love what's in play football. They would have a fresh air that the temperatures against the Serie A decision. I think that was a league that was considered the most boring league in European football some five years ago now it's averaging more goals in the left league and it's highly entertaining. Another side to start is to look at Atlanta was a benchmark and hopefully it's our football goal.
My only concern for them. I think it's one positive one of course. I think the fact that it's like a World Cup style one of game helps them massively because they can go out and attack but their performances in the last few weeks in Serie A have dropped. They've dropped.
They've won one year last night but it wasn't a great performance and their performance have dropped and I just worry that they may be wearing running on empty. But then on the flip side they go, their season is the Italian league doesn't end for another 10 days or two weeks or something like that. So they're the last league to end in European football and then they have to go into a Champions League competition and they'll be playing the Paris-ledger man side who will have an identity football since March. So I don't know what because this has never happened.
I don't know what side you want to be with. You want to be able to decide that a plane week in week out the intensity of playing high level football or do you want to be with the side that I've had their feet up relaxing and just coming back and focus on them. I really don't know what way I would want to be but I have noticed that at Atlanta's performances have dipped so that would be a slight concern for me. I think currently now probably Manchester City are playing the best football they have all season and I think that Man City just looked to me the side to beat.
I know Bayern were brilliant and I thought that the timings are just the way the English Premier League is going to finish this Saturday, a two week wrestling goes straight into it. It's perfect. I think the Bayern unit that's probably had a couple of weeks too long to rest again and to throw them straight away. And that's why I think they've done OK.
So I think still I think matches City are the sides of me. I really do. But one thing I will take you is this competition the way it's going to be done will be brilliant football. It will be absolutely unbelievable.
Play over a two week period in a well cup style event. The best state teams that you're looking for will be one leg, one side will be fine or one. It will be absolutely unbelievable. And I'm hoping that maybe in years to come this could be how the Champions League maybe goes because a lot of things are going to come out of this terrible pandemic.
It's going to be positive. It's going to be a lot of positives. And maybe that might be a positive that this could be the way that Champions League football could play because I think it would be absolutely amazing if we can get this kind of thing. The celebration right.
So brilliant. There'll be no second legs. It will just be set up. And you'll see the best team win some great football matches.
And I'm really looking forward to the other side. I think could do quite well. I think at this time of the grid will do OK. All of the prize made in Champions League football.
But I think Barcelona really, really, really struggled at the back end of the Spanish League. And I think at this time of the grid with their defensive record just in a one off game, they could shut any side out if they need to see for 90 minutes and ball their way to the title. And I hope that's wrong because you've got to say Atlanta matches the city and by Munich, who are playing for the way should be. And I'm talking about side that could bore it.
But we've seen so many. They're going to be facing the life 16 that short handed as well. So they'll be a pretty significant favor to advance from that. I'm sure.
Yeah. So I would go for them. But I think man city, in my opinion, man city will probably be likely winners. I'd love to see Atlanta, but a dark course would be a list coming to it.
The best there is Nigel Seeley from your sports plays. Give him a follow on Twitter. Check out his website and he's got some things going on there for subscribers for next season as well. That will certainly help you make a lot of money.
Nigel will do it again. Right of the Champions League once we have some more. Clear. Once things become clear, this is exactly what we're looking at.
We get some numbers out there. We'll talk to you again soon. Okay. So it keeps tight.
Now back joined by John Murray from the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook kick around a bunch of stuff. We just had Nigel Seeley on to break down the final week of the preming. And for those unfamiliar, John Murray very near and dear to my heart, Liverpool supporters as well. So as soon as we get done knocking this out, we'll be watching a certain trophy listed listed rather in the cop following the Chelsea match.
You talk about a run for a fan, not only John Murray Liverpool supporter Champions League Premier League, John Murray, Washington Capitalist fans. They only come up a couple of years ago. John Murray watching the National expand World Series champions. So life is pretty good for John Murray right now.
Yeah, there's going to be a brief period where Liverpool is going to be the defending premier and Champions League champions and the national is going to be the World Series champion. So it's going to be it's been a very nice run. And I still think the Nationals are I'm sorry Liverpool would be in the Champions League if they shut it down like a week earlier. I mean the only reason we lost is because our goalie was hurt.
That's right. You know they just shut down the Champions League a week earlier. He would have been back when the Champions League resumed. I think it's set to resume on August 7th.
If I have that correct and I think Liverpool would be that's going to go Madrid and I think they'd be moving forward. But you can't win everything. Correct. That's the one disappointing thing just to see them come back and win the pram and knowing that they probably are when Foley healthy still the best team in the world.
They still the best team in Europe and to have Allison get injured and training right before and and then just have the the odds and just get there. It was just because they would have won a match. But you're right. That was literally about memory serves me correctly.
It's like the last match played in England before everything was shut down. So you're right. I'm pretty sure it was all March. If I had this correct.
I didn't look this up before we recorded. I think it was on March 11 and March 11 was a day when Rudy go bear came down with coronavirus and the NBA suspended play. And the next day there were all those college basketball tournaments that were suspended. Exactly.
You can't. The last couple of years have been great. And unfortunately the last couple of months have been a little weird. What have people been bent on?
You're getting more USC play. I'm guessing than anything. Is golf golf up at all? You know, USC came back on May.
It was May 9th. USC 249. They did those fights in Florida. We had our app turned off for the month of April.
We turned it back on a couple of days before that USC fight card. That was Tony Ferguson, Justin Gaechee. We had a great handle on that. The USC has been doing events almost every week since then.
We did huge numbers. USC 251 fight island. That was the mass with all ooswan card a couple of weekends ago. And we're doing big numbers every year.
Pretty much every USC event NASCAR handles way up over what it normally would be. Golf handles way up over what it normally would be. People are betting on other stuff because there's no baseball. And it's got to be frustrating as a baseball fan myself because if baseball could have got their act together.
They could be playing triple headers called Drupal headers during the day. And they would just be dominating the TV ratings. I'm sitting at home right now. I'm watching Manchester United West Ham.
I don't give a shit about this. I'm watching it because it's live sports. I don't care what happens at all. So imagine if baseball was playing triple headers every day.
Think of the handle. Everybody bets on their phone accounts in Nevada now and all over the country. People don't have to come to the casino and they can be betting from their couch. Watching these baseball games all day long.
Baseball I think would be dominating the sports landscape like never before. But really it's been a USC that's been carrying us as we reopened. Yeah, I really don't know. I think at some point baseball went from being okay, we're worried about the virus.
Let's figure it out too. Okay, we kind of got the virus parts figured out and it just became more of a labor to speak than anything else, which is really unfortunate. Because these teams could have been playing double headers every day. You could have played more game and it turned into just a nightmare, which is status quo for 2020.
You mentioned the golf. I brought a call with some of my other Shaw colleagues this week on the three and which I think will probably be a birdie fest type tournament. I actually took it to a stand with Tommy Fleetwood as my topic guy who hasn't played since the restart, but he's been playing some of the other day of Chinacock. Probably should have won the US Open Chinacock a couple years ago.
And then some other guys I played it up. It's just a playing it's a plus money to finish top 10 top 20. I think it's pretty well since the restart. I had a hundred New Orleans actually close to the top 10 finish last week at the memorial.
He was like plus five 50 to finish the top 10 to 75. The top 20 was a nice price to finish the top 20. So if you're looking for a little bit more detail on that, check out the picks on that myself and Dave Bareman and Neil Marks and Douglas area in the paint for this week. So is anything coming on this top 10 this week?
That's exactly a big one. Kind of that tweener tournament between Jack's tournament last week and then he got the FedEx St. Jude and the PGA coming out a couple weeks. You know, last week was so big as Tiger was back.
Tiger was the guy that moves in the needle and the PGA tour has been for 20 years. Decent handle this week on the three. I'm not like last week. I know we got the PGA coming in a couple of weeks.
Dustin Johnson right now, the favorite of the Westgate and the 10 to one that handles been good, not great. But you know what we're really seeing is bigger ticket count number every week. There's a lot of people that think they can pick golf now, I guess, because they're not focusing on baseball anymore. Everyone now is engulfed in soccer.
Haven't you been following that session media? Yeah, we get a lot of our golf guys. Jeff Sherman, of course, handled the golf for us at the Westgate. He's putting up more props, more match ups than he normally would on the run of the mill tournaments just because he's got more time on it.
I think I do expect to handle it a little bit from last week for sure. Pretty good handle really when you consider this field is kind of mediocre. No, John Ron this week. Ron, of course, the one last week at the Memorial.
Dustin Johnson, books, Kefka, other two favorites. What do you think of that penalty that John Ron got? I went and I played golf yesterday with some friends of mine. I think I do that all the time.
I just put my club down to the grass there. I don't know. I'm at the ball. I don't know if the ball naturally moves.
Yeah, make sure if your ball before you hit it. I couldn't believe that was a two-stroke penalty. There was no way. This is conspiracy theory.
They were not going to let him sign that card and have him lose that tournament being accessibility. Like Justin Johnson was a straight circle a couple years ago. I think if it was endowed someone would have given him the go ahead. You move the ball.
You might not want to sign that card. Are you buying? Is Chambos in the favor of your guys place now for P.G. A couple weeks?
Chambos kind of blew up over the last tournament. He's a guy that's getting a lot of support right now. We do have the 12 to 1 for the PGA, which is in a couple of weeks, co-favorite along with Rory Mcalloy. What you see happen is people see these guys winning these lesser tournaments and then they log into Bet on the major.
We've taken a bunch of bets on Chambos in the last few weeks. That's why you see his odds come down. I don't know that he really should be the co-favorite to win a major personally. Having said that, I saw him hit that one tee shot like 420 yards in the other day.
I guess this guy's capable of anything. We'll see if he can handle the major pressure. The next time he really contends that in a major will be the first, I guess. Baseball season starts Thursday where we're taking this Wednesday afternoon.
It's a little bit late. What do you see? If any of these win totals or props or anything taking some play, you mentioned the golf and soccer and UFC is up, but people interested in the baseball, they've taken a wait and see approach. There's less handle on this stuff than there normally would be.
I think there's a lot of people who don't know what's going to happen with this baseball season. I could tell you one total we've definitely seen some sharp money come in on in the last few days is the Toronto Blue Jays under their win total. I guess it's because they're not going to be playing their home games in Toronto. There were some reports that some guys were going to opt out of the season.
Some Blue Jays players. We definitely have seen some money come in against the Blue Jays, fading Toronto Blue Jays. I think they announced yesterday they're going to play their home games in Pittsburgh at PNC Park. Yeah, which I would think too might result in a lot of higher scoring games because I think that market is going to see a lot of.
I think if you're looking at maybe looking for some guys to maybe win a home run title or an MVP type race or you got some season props on some, maybe like Vladimir Greer or Junior. I think he could be a guy who might in this second full year in the bigs now really might take take a leap forward. I don't know what his number is to win a home run title. He might be someone that might be worth taking a look at if he's going to play his home games in that stadium.
Well, he's a guy that's long been considered one of the top prospects in baseball, a ton of power. We've got him at the Westgate. We've got him at 21, I believe the majors at home runs. We'll see what difference it makes with him playing his home games in Pittsburgh.
But I think the thought process, like I said though, they think some players are going to drop out of the season or opt out of the season. And that's why they're playing them under. It's a tough schedule too. The schedule this year is so slanted to your region, I guess you'd say, where you just play the other, like if you're in the A.L.E.S.
you just play the other East teams. And that can be tough. The N.L.E.S. is really good, obviously outside of the Marlins.
Four teams that have playoff aspirations. And then a lot of games for the Blue Jays with the Yankees and with the Rays and even the Red Sox. Now the Red Sox are a team that we've seen weird action on. We've seen guys take shots on them to win the division, win the World Series, win the pennant, sharp guys.
We've also seen big money come in under their wind total. So the Red Sox are a team that people, I guess they can't really decide what to make up for the Boston. Well, that was one of the wind totals I got to me when I was prepping for this to talk about with you. I saw the wind total of 30 and a half was a number that I saw.
And I thought they were dead under play 30 and a half. I think the pitching staff is bad. You mentioned it. You've got the Yankees in the Rays and your division.
And then you got to play the National League East as your crossover rival in the interleague. And you're dealing with national Phillies, Braves and Mets. We're all good teams. I don't see this.
And you take into the account no fans, if Fenway, Fenway is usually a good home. There are a few baseball cities and baseball teams that have that relationship. And I think you gain some type of home field edge because of their crowd and fan support. Then the Red Sox, I think the Red Sox are an under wind total team this year.
I will say this, they're lineup breaks. I know they lost most of the best. They traded most of the best. I should say that lineup breaks.
They got a lot of guys in that lineup that hit the ball. Starting pitching is the concern. You nailed it. So many question marks in that starting rotation.
That's why I think a lot of people are down on the Red Sox this season. But I think that wind total is pretty low. You're talking about you said 30 and a half. The markets in that neighborhood right now on the Red Sox.
I think the wind total has been adjusted properly. I'll say that. I don't know how much value you're really getting. We're all the way down to 29 and a half.
We had a guy come in. He met 10 grand under 30 and a half on Boston. So we're going to be Boston. Yeah, we had a guy really the only maybe he can line on 30.
We both can be happy. Yeah, really the only notable large bets we've seen on wind totals was a gentleman. No one house player came in and he bet 10,000 each on the Red Sox under. Padres over and the Cardinals over.
Cardinals, the Cardinals to me are a tough team to get a handle on. They really over achieved last season. They won the central division and then they. I don't know if they've lucked into being the Braves because remember that game five was some strange.
First inning, right? Yeah, and then they just got absolutely blitzed by the nationals in the NLCS. So that's a team that for me is a part of the expense of the Cardinals. But I do like the fact that they're the central and they should have an easier schedule to these teams out in the east of East.
Yeah, and the back end of their bullpen, I think is still a little shaky. I'll feel like they get. Yeah, it just seems like every year I had a similar thought about the Cardinals and every year they wind up winning 89, 90 games, 80, 70 games in there. They're making the playoffs as a wild card.
You go home disappointed. I'm curious about in terms of central division, but other league with the White Sox. They are seem to be everybody's darling. So their wind total was 32.
I saw him. I don't know. I'm a little skeptical on these these trendy teams that everybody seems to love them kind of stump the last few years. I might be looking to play under 32.
White Sox. Well, I'll give you the two trendy teams that we're seeing. White Sox is number one. We've got their wind total 32 and a half.
They're one of our ticket count leaders in terms of world series, future action. The White Sox, they've got a very young lineup, a lot of top prospects. Everybody really likes them. I don't know their pitching can hold up.
Although it's only a 60 game season. Maybe a can. The White Sox extremely trendy. And then the other one also in the central, the national, the Cincinnati Reds.
We've got that at 33 and a half. Their team is seeing a lot of action as well. So the White Sox at 32 and a half, the Reds at 33 and a half. If you're looking to go against the green and fade the public teams, they're your two public teams.
They're the two teams in the American League and the National League and everybody has decided these are the two speakers, I guess, so to speak. And if you're looking to fade those popular teams like the like the Browns and the Bears were last year in the NFL, it's the White Sox. It's the Cincinnati Reds. Another public team and I can say being a public team, a lot of Dodger, Yankee and whoever is playing the Tigers, Moneyline parlays this year.
The Dodgers saw their wins over 38, but don't you think that's still kind of low? I mean, that lineup is stacked. They're kind of built like an American League team to be able to really capitalize on the TH rule. I think the bullpen's better.
The dealer, I think, could be your natural league. So a young winner, a third 38 seems a little low. I think it's a little low. You know, it's funny.
The guys that were working on our baseball numbers, which was really spearheaded by one of our sports book managers, Randy Blum. And then of course by Ed Sammons, our VP of risk. They asked me what I thought after they adjusted the win totals to the 60 game season before they turned them on. And I looked at them and I was like, look, I know this sounds square, but I kind of think the Dodgers over 2-0.
And it was like the highest number on the board. We have it at 38 at the Westgate. And it's not usually my style to that over the highest number or under the lowest number. But I agree with you.
I thought because of the way the schedule is set up playing all those teams in the National League West and really the American League West is not a great division either. The Dodgers, I don't see any reason why they went with in the low to mid 40s with their schedule. They bring over Boogie Bets. I know David Price opted out of this 2020 season, but the Dodgers are absolutely loaded.
They only think that might prevent them from getting to that number is if they just get such a big lead to the division that they lose interest at the end of the season. That would concern me a little bit. Maybe they're ahead by so much. They don't care.
You mentioned that just had to be so bad. Obviously the Giants number, I think, is just to what you really can play that. But I thought the Rockies at 28 was another interesting. You're talking about what 10 games with the Dodgers.
The Padres are going to be improved. I don't think the Diamondbacks are a bad team. They could be a sneaky, maybe wild card type contender and you got to play the Astros from the A. Like another team that just the Rockies seem like another one.
I don't remember 28. I don't know. That seems kind of high. We did see some sharp money on the Diamondbacks with the division over the wind total from a group that met them last year as well.
I did well on those bets. So the Diamondbacks are in play as potentially a sharp team. There's only going to be so many wins to go around in that National League West. When you've got the Dodgers, you've got these teams all playing the Astros like you mentioned.
So yeah, I agree with you. The Rockies could be a fade, but they do get to play the Giants 10 times. Potentially win a lot of games to get to Giants. I'll be nice.
The Giants don't look like they're going to be very good. That line up looks. I was going down at the end. I was looking at that line up.