630 Iran Faces War Scenario—U.S. Surge Continues; Geneva Talks Begin Under Fire

15 Feb 2026The United States is increasing its military presence around Iran, deploying aircraft carriers, fighter jets, and missile defence systems. President Trump has set a deadline for negotiations with Iran, threatening military action if Iran does not comply. The situation is tense, with both sides preparing for potential conflict.Tensions between the US and Iran are escalating, with the US increasing economic and political pressure on Iran, particularly targeting its oil sales to China. This pressure is coupled with a military build-up in the region, including the deployment of the aircraft carrier Gerald Ford. The situation is further complicated by internal unrest in Iran, with reports of a crackdown on protesters and a potential for a broader conflict.The US, Israel, and Iran are engaged in high-stakes negotiations, with the US applying economic pressure and a military threat to Iran. Iran is seeking economic relief while trying to protect its missile and proxy capabilities. Meanwhile, in the Gaza Strip, preparations are underway for the disarmament of Hamas, with a technocratic government set to take over and local militias working in coordination with the IDF.Hamas is resisting disarmament efforts in Gaza, maintaining control over police and public institutions despite international support for rebuilding. The IDF aims to disarm Hamas by March, while Hamas attempts to remain in power. Meanwhile, Israel is targeting Hezbollah’s infrastructure in Lebanon, striking smuggling routes and weapons caches, and questioning the Lebanese army’s ability to dismantle Hezbollah’s capabilities.