After Meeting EP.58|停滯性通膨在線等? episode artwork

EPISODE · Mar 13, 2022 · 44 MIN

After Meeting EP.58|停滯性通膨在線等?

from MacroMicro 財經M平方 · host MacroMicro

現在會不會重演 70 年代的停滯性通膨?經濟會不會陷入衰退?尤其是烏俄衝突發生,油價、農產品價格暴漲,該怎麼判斷發生停滯性通膨了? 「我認為現在與 70 年代的經濟背景並不相同,除聯準會政策獨立性與過往相比已經大幅提升,再來就是,美國現在已經是石油淨出口國,汽油目前佔人均支出大概是整體消費比重約 2.25%,與 1980 石油危機時的 5.06% 相比下降了一半,美國 CPI 更大一部分是來自房租跟服務性消費,所以對於這次烏俄衝突帶來的原物料之亂,會不會造成停滯性通膨,我覺得不用這麼草率下定論。但可以預期的是,接下來聯準會將會…」完整內容聽全球市場研究員 Vivianna 的解讀! #精華重點搶先看 📌 烏俄衝突,會重演 70 年代停滯性通膨? 📌 歷史上戰爭與停滯性通膨的關聯性 📌 聯準會緊縮,未來行情怎麼看? 📌 一週一圖表:全球-小麥存貨需求比 📌 用戶問題:製造業庫存、零售銷售 ✨ 彩蛋公佈 ✨ 🔴 LIVE |2022 Q2「#MM全球經濟展望」一起度過關鍵時刻! 今年 Q1 行情波動劇烈,進入資金氾濫的 party 尾聲,聯準會緊縮在即,疫情、烏俄衝突又添變數,全球通膨壓力連環爆。短短不到一個季度,好像度過了一整年的大大小小事件,而此階段又剛好面臨經濟數據基期墊高、庫存調整疑慮,面對最嚴峻的「Q2 關鍵時刻」,該如何重新對焦?「#MM全球經濟展望 」幫助你與各大投資機構站在同樣的視野,動態調整資產佈局! 👉 點我報名:https://pse.is/4368kd ▌ 2022 Q2:通膨嚴峻,升息下的全球投資趨勢 📍 主講人:全球市場研究員 Vivianna 📍 直播時間:2022/3/28(一)2000~2130 📍 影片回看:2022/4/15(五)前重複回放複習 📍 參加辦法: 【MM PRO】 50 M幣(55 折,原 90 M幣) 【一般會員】 75 M幣(83 折,原 90 M幣) 👉 點我報名:https://pse.is/4368kd --------------------- ✍️ MM 部落格|停滯性通膨快報 https://pse.is/43brjy 💹 MM 圖表|全球-小麥存貨需求比 (月) https://pse.is/3wqp54 🎧 錄音時間:3/10 1830 💻 研究員:Vivianna -- Hosting provided by SoundOn

現在會不會重演 70 年代的停滯性通膨?經濟會不會陷入衰退?尤其是烏俄衝突發生,油價、農產品價格暴漲,該怎麼判斷發生停滯性通膨了? 「我認為現在與 70 年代的經濟背景並不相同,除聯準會政策獨立性與過往相比已經大幅提升,再來就是,美國現在已經是石油淨出口國,汽油目前佔人均支出大概是整體消費比重約 2.25%,與 1980 石油危機時的 5.06% 相比下降了一半,美國 CPI 更大一部分是來自房租跟服務性消費,所以對於這次烏俄衝突帶來的原物料之亂,會不會造成停滯性通膨,我覺得不用這麼草率下定論。但可以預期的是,接下來聯準會將會…」完整內容聽全球市場研究員 Vivianna 的解讀! #精華重點搶先看 📌 烏俄衝突,會重演 70 年代停滯性通膨? 📌 歷史上戰爭與停滯性通膨的關聯性 📌 聯準會緊縮,未來行情怎麼看? 📌 一週一圖表:全球-小麥存貨需求比 📌 用戶問題:製造業庫存、零售銷售 ✨ 彩蛋公佈 ✨ 🔴 LIVE |2022 Q2「#MM全球經濟展望」一起度過關鍵時刻! 今年 Q1 行情波動劇烈,進入資金氾濫的 party 尾聲,聯準會緊縮在即,疫情、烏俄衝突又添變數,全球通膨壓力連環爆。短短不到一個季度,好像度過了一整年的大大小小事件,而此階段又剛好面臨經濟數據基期墊高、庫存調整疑慮,面對最嚴峻的「Q2 關鍵時刻」,該如何重新對焦?「#MM全球經濟展望 」幫助你與各大投資機構站在同樣的視野,動態調整資產佈局! 👉 點我報名:https://pse.is/4368kd ▌ 2022 Q2:通膨嚴峻,升息下的全球投資趨勢 📍 主講人:全球市場研究員 Vivianna 📍 直播時間:2022/3/28(一)2000~2130 📍 影片回看:2022/4/15(五)前重複回放複習 📍 參加辦法: 【MM PRO】 50 M幣(55 折,原 90 M幣) 【一般會員】 75 M幣(83 折,原 90 M幣) 👉 點我報名:https://pse.is/4368kd --------------------- ✍️ MM 部落格|停滯性通膨快報 https://pse.is/43brjy 💹 MM 圖表|全球-小麥存貨需求比 (月) https://pse.is/3wqp54 🎧 錄音時間:3/10 1830 💻 研究員:Vivianna -- Hosting provided by SoundOn

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After Meeting EP.58|停滯性通膨在線等?

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This episode was published on March 13, 2022.

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現在會不會重演 70 年代的停滯性通膨?經濟會不會陷入衰退?尤其是烏俄衝突發生,油價、農產品價格暴漲,該怎麼判斷發生停滯性通膨了? 「我認為現在與 70 年代的經濟背景並不相同,除聯準會政策獨立性與過往相比已經大幅提升,再來就是,美國現在已經是石油淨出口國,汽油目前佔人均支出大概是整體消費比重約 2.25%,與 1980 石油危機時的 5.06% 相比下降了一半,美國 CPI...

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