EPISODE · Jul 14, 2025 · 1H
All-Time Highs. Record Complacency | What the Options Market Tells Us About What Comes Next
from The OPEX Effect · host Excess Returns
Markets are sitting at all-time highs, but under the surface, the options market is flashing signs of extreme positioning. In this episode, Brent Kochuba of SpotGamma returns to break down the latest options expiration cycle and what it could mean for stocks going forward.We discuss why record call buying, minimal hedging, and low implied volatility are creating a potentially fragile setup — and why upcoming events like CPI, VIX expiration, and tariffs could act as catalysts. Whether you're a long-term investor or a short-term trader, this conversation offers a deeper look at how positioning, dealer flows, and volatility pricing impact market behavior.Topics covered include:Why extreme call skew signals crowdingThe importance of gamma, vanna, and charmHow options flows can drive short-term market movesThe "window of weakness" around OPEX and VIX expirationThe role of tariffs, CPI, and macro catalysts in this setupTactical implications for investors and traders
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All-Time Highs. Record Complacency | What the Options Market Tells Us About What Comes Next
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