ANC falls further in election polls?

from SMWX · host Sizwe Mpofu-Walsh

South Africa is heading into another crucial round of local government elections — but the political landscape has fundamentally changed. In this episode of SMWX, we break down the latest polling from the Social Research Foundation and Ipsos to understand where each major party stands right now — nationally and in key metros like Johannesburg, Tshwane, Ekurhuleni and eThekwini. The numbers tell a clear story: no party is anywhere near outright control in the country’s major cities. Instead, South Africa is entering a deeper phase of coalition politics — with more parties, more fragmentation, and more uncertainty than ever before. We unpack: Where the African National Congress actually sits today — and whether this is now its ceiling The Democratic Alliance’s position in metros and why it still struggles to break through The rise of the MK Party and how it is reshaping the political map What’s happening to the Economic Freedom Fighters vote Why parties like ActionSA, Inkatha Freedom Party and Patriotic Alliance could decide who governs We also revisit the 2021 results in key metros to show how coalition politics has evolved — and why instability may actually increase after the next election, not decrease. The big question is no longer “who will win?” — but rather: who can actually form a stable government? Further reading: SRF polls: https://www.thecommonsense.co.za/polls Inside Politics: https://inside-politics.org

What this episode covers

South Africa is heading into another crucial round of local government elections — but the political landscape has fundamentally changed.In this episode of SMWX, we break down the latest polling from the Social Research Foundation and Ipsos to understand where each major party stands right now — nationally and in key metros like Johannesburg, Tshwane, Ekurhuleni and eThekwini.The numbers tell a clear story: no party is anywhere near outright control in the country’s major cities. Instead, South Africa is entering a deeper phase of coalition politics — with more parties, more fragmentation, and more uncertainty than ever before.We unpack:Where the African National Congress actually sits today — and whether this is now its ceilingThe Democratic Alliance’s position in metros and why it still struggles to break throughThe rise of the MK Party and how it is reshaping the political mapWhat’s happening to the Economic Freedom Fighters voteWhy parties like ActionSA, Inkatha Freedom Party and Patriotic Alliance could decide who governsWe also revisit the 2021 results in key metros to show how coalition politics has evolved — and why instability may actually increase after the next election, not decrease.The big question is no longer “who will win?” — but rather:who can actually form a stable government? Further reading:SRF polls: https://www.thecommonsense.co.za/pollsInside Politics: https://inside-politics.org