Are the New 2026 LDL Targets Backed by Evidence?

The 2026 ACC/AHA Dyslipidemia Guideline sets LDL targets of less than 70 mg/dL for high-risk patients and less than 55 mg/dL for very high-risk patients. Those numbers will drive prescribing decisions for the next decade.Has anyone ever run a randomized trial where one group was treated to a target of 70 and another to 55, and compared what happened? When the guideline was published on March 13, 2026 — no. Two weeks later, a trial called Ez-PAVE changed that. In this episode, we go trial by trial through IMPROVE-IT, FOURIER, ODYSSEY OUTCOMES, and ORION — examining what each one actually showed — and what the guideline committee used to justify LDL thresholds that were never prospectively tested as targets.Key Findings:IMPROVE-IT: ARR 2.0%, HR 0.936 (CI 0.89–0.99); all-cause mortality HR 0.99; CV mortality HR 1.00; background statin was simvastatin 40mg — moderate intensityFOURIER: HR 0.85, no mortality benefit (CV death HR 1.05, all-cause HR 1.04); median follow-up 2.2 years; NNT 74 over 2 years at ~$14,000/yearODYSSEY OUTCOMES: All-cause mortality HR 0.85 is nominal — hierarchical testing stopped before it was formally tested; benefit concentrated in LDL ≥100 post-hoc subgroup; NNT 163 for mortality in full populationORION: Primary endpoints are LDL surrogates only — no cardiovascular outcomes data; received COR 2a in the guideline anywayEz-PAVE (NEJM, March 28, 2026): First head-to-head target trial — open-label, 17 sites in South Korea, no mortality signal, published 15 days after the guideline Castelli Coefficient: 5.5/10Sources:Cannon CP et al. N Engl J Med. 2015;372:2387. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa1410489Sabatine MS et al. N Engl J Med. 2017;376:1713. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa1615664Schwartz GG et al. N Engl J Med. 2018;379:2097. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa1801174Ray KK et al. N Engl J Med. 2020;382:1507. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa1912387Lee YJ et al. N Engl J Med. 2026. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa2600283 (Ez-PAVE)Blumenthal RS et al. 2026 ACC/AHA Dyslipidemia Guideline. March 13, 2026.Gregory Castelli, PharmD, FCCP, BCPS, BC-ADM, CDCESAssociate Professor | Director of Academic and Clinical PharmacyDispense As Written, LLC🎙️ YouTube: @dispenseaswritten📸 Instagram/TikTok: @gregcastellipharmd🐦 X/Twitter: @gregcastellirx📧 [email protected] DISCLAIMER: This content is produced by Dispense As Written, LLC and is intended for educational purposes for healthcare professionals. It does not constitute medical advice and should not be used to guide individual patient care. Always consult current clinical guidelines and use professional judgment in clinical decision-making. Dispense As Written, LLC operates independently of Gregory Castelli's academic and institutional roles.#DispenseAsWritten #EvidenceBasedMedicine #EBM #MedEd #PrimaryCare #FamilyMedicine #InternalMedicine #Dyslipidemia #ldlcholesterol