Are You a Wizard or a Prophet? The Mental Model I Use to Underwrite Every Deal | Ep 317

In this episode, a Texas parcel bought at roughly $3,000 per acre (inclusive of value-add) shows how fast a buyer's market can reprice, with the exit assumption sliding from an underwritten $5,500 to $6,000 per acre to a $5,000 listing that still barely draws a bid. That same parcel would underwrite closer to $4,000 per acre today, a 20% to 30% drop in under two months. Charles Mann's "The Wizard and the Prophet" supplies the lens, contrasting innovation that pushes past limits against caution that respects them.We fund larger land deals that others can’t reliably underwrite. With a 100% close rate on committed capital and over $6M funded, we are the relentless funding partner for experienced operators.Submit your next deal for funding ($50K - $1M+) and experience underwriting that turns over every stone.Partner With Us Today → Seriousland.CapitalGet our exclusive weekly newsletter every Monday at Serious News.Deal breakdowns, AI for operators, behind-the-fund decisions.Operator-to-operator. No fluff.→ https://seriousland.capital/newsletter/