Australia's Biggest Property Crash in 40 Years Has Already Begun | Property Experts

Book Your FREE Investment Assessment 👉: https://follio.com.au/contact-us/📊 National Investment Report: https://441711975.hs-sites-ap1.com/follio-property-podcast-content-subscriber?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_id=Episode+73Australia's property market is on the edge of its biggest correction in 40 years and most investors are still not prepared, as explained by the property expert Leith Van Onselen. He reveals exactly why falling borrowing capacity, poorly timed tax policy, and a looming recession are set to push property prices down by up to 10% across major capitals.The Australian real estate market has reached a dangerous inflection point. With the RBA at its highest cash rate in 15 years and investor borrowing capacity slashed by up to 30%, the widening gap between soaring property prices and the real capacity to pay cannot hold. The capital gains tax, property Australia reforms and negative gearing changes have landed at the worst possible moment, piling more downward pressure onto a market already at its cyclical peak.Australia is tracking dangerously close to New Zealand's trajectory, where identical policy changes triggered a sharp property crash before the incoming government reversed course. The 25-year supercycle of rising property values relative to incomes is likely over. Brisbane sits at its most overvalued level in 50 years relative to other capitals. The Melbourne property market is the cheapest major capital in 50 years. Consumer sentiment is near 50-year lows, construction costs are up 40% since the pandemic, and rental vacancy rates have hit their lowest point in recorded history.What you'll learn in this episode: ✅ Why Australia is heading for its biggest property correction in 40 years ✅ How capital gains tax and negative gearing changes have crushed investor borrowing capacity by up to 30%✅ The New Zealand precedent and what it signals for Australian property investment in 2025 ✅ Brisbane vs Melbourne: which capital is dangerously overvalued and which presents the hidden opportunity ✅ Why surging construction costs are deepening the rental crisis and stifling new supply ✅ What RBA rate cuts will and will not save for property investorsTimestamps:00:00 - Australia's Biggest Property Correction in 40 Years01:35 - Capital Gains Tax & Negative Gearing: The Policy Shock04:25 - The New Zealand Precedent12:21 - What Actually Moves Property Prices17:07 - Credit Availability & Borrowing Capacity Collapse19:14 - RBA Rate Cuts & Recession Risk24:29 - Brisbane vs Melbourne: Which Market Wins?33:15 - Is This Worse Than 2018?45:48 - Rental Crisis & Construction Collapse50:04 - Wrap Up & Part 2 PreviewFollow Leith Van Onselen:YouTube:  @Leithvo  Business: https://www.macrobusiness.com.au/About The Follio Property PodcastEach week, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property. From market cycles to debt, strategy, data, and real-world insights — we make property simple, honest, and practical.📍 Visit Our Website: https://follio.com.au/📩 Contact Us: [email protected]📲 Follow Us on Social:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/folliopropertypod/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@folliopropertypodSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N53zsb4ldzFNlTwad?si=AFEgYOAiSh2QGbK8AfFLywLachlan Delahunty: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lachlandelahunty/Reece Beddall: https://www.linkedin.com/in/reece-beddall-294557b3/Executive Producer: Jonathan Fernandeshttps://www.linkedin.com/in/jonathan-fernandes-a75a991b2/#AustralianPropertyMarket #RealEstateAustralia #AustralianHousingMarket #NegativeGearing #CapitalGainsTax #FollioPropertyPodcast