EPISODE · Jul 18, 2026 · 59 MIN
Before the Outcome Was Known: Reconstructing Dragon Bravo
from COGPLEXITI: Decision Analysis for Operational Leaders. · host Jayson Coil
In July 2025, a small lightning fire on the North Rim of Grand Canyon National Park grew over ten days into the Dragon Bravo Fire — the loss of the Grand Canyon Lodge, a chlorine release at the wastewater plant, and an event the official review would later describe as foreseeable and preventable.This is a different reading of the same event.Using the Safety II method developed by Erik Hollnagel — and the LEODSI framework for evidence-based reconstruction — this narration stands inside the decisions as they were made. With only the information the decision-makers had. Reconstructing what was reasonable to do with what was visible at the time.The facts are the same as the official Significant Wildland Fire Review. The reader closes a different document.Approximately 47 minutes. A companion to the written reconstruction of the same name.
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Before the Outcome Was Known: Reconstructing Dragon Bravo
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