EPISODE · May 11, 2026 · 49 MIN
Bitcoin’s Next Move Depends on One Thing Nobody Tracks
from Less Noise, More Signal · host Pascal
▬▬▬ DISCUSSION ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ 💬Join the discussion on Telegram: https://t.me/+OgDv1Djbvs80M2Fk ▬▬▬ EPISODE ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ In this in-depth interview, Markus Thielen from 10X Research shares his macro and on-chain analysis of Bitcoin, market cycles, and macro risks. Discover how his regime models predict market turns, the impact of macroeconomic factors, and insights into the current crypto landscape. Follow Markus Thielen 👉 https://x.com/10xResearch ▬▬▬ SUPPORT ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ ⚡️LNMS on Lightning: [email protected] ₿ BTC-Address: bc1qmk7gfdnrdegnmnrtnacj6rslan0y6v29kdlf9p 💵https://buy.stripe.com/9B600k5Tscv33Ue4zRdby00 Twint: https://go.twint.ch/1/e/tw?tw=acq.Z7L1opJwS72nbGgEMY4w3ILkf67JAEyEFmXrtoKoUbONWSsjLDDQIhNx5ReanPy7. ▬▬▬ LINKS ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ 📰 LNMS Newsletter: https://lessnoisemoresignal.substack.com/ 🎧 LNMS on Apple: https://tinyurl.com/4apksnyn 🎧 LNMS on Spotify: https://tinyurl.com/ttha8kku 🎧 LNMS on Rumble: https://tinyurl.com/4k96c7tw 🎧 LNMS on Fountain: https://tinyurl.com/5dsbbj5p 🌐 LNMS Website: https://www.lessnoise-moresignal.com/ 📖 Bitcoin Book: https://www.amazon.de/dp/1967693013 🎧 LNMS on YouTube: https://tinyurl.com/4jfhr4zn ▬▬▬ SOCIALS ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ Follow on X👉 https://x.com/pahueg Follow on Nostr 👉 https://primal.net/pascal Follow on LinkedIn 👉 https://www.linkedin.com/in/pascal-huegli/ ▬▬▬ CHAPTERS ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ 00:00 Intro 01:57 Introduction to Markus Thielen and 10X Research 04:53 Current Market Assessment: Counter Rally or New Bull? 06:12 Historical Cycle Calls and Market Bottoms 08:06 Bitcoin's Supply and Demand Dynamics 09:32 Cycle Timing and the Role of Halvings 10:57 Market Indicators and Outflows 12:20 Market Resistance and Price Targets 13:17 Technical Models and Market Sentiment 16:03 On-Chain Flows and Market Bottoming 17:31 Investor Positioning and Bullish Sentiment 20:01 Macro Risks: Inflation, Oil, and Energy Markets 25:29 Inflation Models and Macro Outlook 30:29 The Impact of Spending and Inflation on Bitcoin 33:19 The Role of Narrative and Attention Cycles 34:30 Market Environment During Bottoming Periods 37:03 Institutional Buying and MicroStrategy 40:15 Market Volume and Health of the Bitcoin Network 40:59 Bitcoin Miners: Selling Pressure and Network Security 45:38 Holistic Market Analysis: Data, Technicals, and Sentiment 48:48 How to Connect with 10X Research --- Disclaimer The publications on this website and in these videos, including any references and links, are provided for information purposes only and do not constitute investment advice, investment analysis, or an offer or recommendation to buy or sell financial instruments. They do not replace investment or other professional advice. The information reflects the state of knowledge at the time of preparation and may be changed at any time without notice. The content is intended for natural persons only. No liability is accepted for the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information provided, its sources, or for any resulting losses or damages. Liability for slight negligence is excluded. Marketing communication. Not investment advice. Investing involves risk. Transactions in Bitcoin may result in the total loss of the capital invested.
What this episode covers
▬▬▬ DISCUSSION ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ 💬Join the discussion on Telegram: https://t.me/+OgDv1Djbvs80M2Fk ▬▬▬ EPISODE ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ In this in-depth interview, Markus Thielen from 10X Research shares his macro and on-chain analysis of Bitcoin, market cycles, and macro risks. Discover how his regime models predict market turns, the impact of macroeconomic factors, and insights into the current crypto landscape. Follow Markus Thielen 👉 https://x.com/10xResearch ▬▬▬ SUPPORT ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ ⚡️LNMS on Lightning: [email protected] ₿ BTC-Address: bc1qmk7gfdnrdegnmnrtnacj6rslan0y6v29kdlf9p 💵https://buy.stripe.com/9B600k5Tscv33Ue4zRdby00 Twint: https://go.twint.ch/1/e/tw?tw=acq.Z7L1opJwS72nbGgEMY4w3ILkf67JAEyEFmXrtoKoUbONWSsjLDDQIhNx5ReanPy7. ▬▬▬ LINKS ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ 📰 LNMS Newsletter: https://lessnoisemoresignal.substack.com/ 🎧 LNMS on Apple: https://tinyurl.com/4apksnyn 🎧 LNMS on Spotify: https://tinyurl.com/ttha8kku 🎧 LNMS on Rumble: https://tinyurl.com/4k96c7tw 🎧 LNMS on Fountain: https://tinyurl.com/5dsbbj5p 🌐 LNMS Website: https://www.lessnoise-moresignal.com/ 📖 Bitcoin Book: https://www.amazon.de/dp/1967693013 🎧 LNMS on YouTube: https://tinyurl.com/4jfhr4zn ▬▬▬ SOCIALS ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ Follow on X👉 https://x.com/pahueg Follow on Nostr 👉 https://primal.net/pascal Follow on LinkedIn 👉 https://www.linkedin.com/in/pascal-huegli/ ▬▬▬ CHAPTERS ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ 00:00 Intro 01:57 Introduction to Markus Thielen and 10X Research 04:53 Current Market Assessment: Counter Rally or New Bull? 06:12 Historical Cycle Calls and Market Bottoms 08:06 Bitcoin's Supply and Demand Dynamics 09:32 Cycle Timing and the Role of Halvings 10:57 Market Indicators and Outflows 12:20 Market Resistance and Price Targets 13:17 Technical Models and Market Sentiment 16:03 On-Chain Flows and Market Bottoming 17:31 Investor Positioning and Bullish Sentiment 20:01 Macro Risks: Inflation, Oil, and Energy Markets 25:29 Inflation Models and Macro Outlook 30:29 The Impact of Spending and Inflation on Bitcoin 33:19 The Role of Narrative and Attention Cycles 34:30 Market Environment During Bottoming Periods 37:03 Institutional Buying and MicroStrategy 40:15 Market Volume and Health of the Bitcoin Network 40:59 Bitcoin Miners: Selling Pressure and Network Security 45:38 Holistic Market Analysis: Data, Technicals, and Sentiment 48:48 How to Connect with 10X Research --- Disclaimer The publications on this website and in these videos, including any references and links, are provided for information purposes only and do not constitute investment advice, investment analysis, or an offer or recommendation to buy or sell financial instruments. They do not replace investment or other professional advice. The information reflects the state of knowledge at the time of preparation and may be changed at any time without notice. The content is intended for natural persons only. No liability is accepted for the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information provided, its sources, or for any resulting losses or damages. Liability for slight negligence is excluded. Marketing communication. Not investment advice. Investing involves risk. Transactions in Bitcoin may result in the total loss of the capital invested.
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Bitcoin’s Next Move Depends on One Thing Nobody Tracks
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