Bitcoin's Traditional Cycle Is Breaking Down in Real Time | James van Straten | BFM216

James van Straten is Senior Analyst at CoinDesk and Bullish, where he conducts in-depth structured research on Bitcoin. James hails Bitcoin as the 21st century's paramount invention.› https://x.com/btcjvsPARTNERS🌳 Gain peace of mind with Onramp’s Multi-Institution Custody solution. Sign up with code BRAM to receive $150 in Bitcoin after your first deposit: https://onrampbitcoin.com/bram🟧 Gemini’s Bitcoin Credit Card: Earn instant bitcoin rewards on every purchase with no annual fee. Sign up today to earn a $200 intro Bitcoin bonus: https://gemini.com/bram🔐 Blockstream Jade Plus: The simplest and most secure hardware wallet on the planet - Get 10% off your entire order with code BRAM at https://store.blockstream.com🔨 Stamp Seed: The safest way to backup your hardware wallet - Get 15% off with code BRAM at https://stampseed.comPRODUCTS I ENDORSE› Get 10% off a Bitaxe open-source Bitcoin home miner using code BRAM at https://shop.powermining.io/?ref=BRAM› Buy Bitcoin in the EU 🇪🇺 via https://relai.me/bram and use code BRAM to reduce fees by 0.5%🔔 SUBSCRIBE TO GET NOTIFIED› https://youtube.com/@bramk⁠⁠› https://x.com/bramk🕑 TIMESTAMPS00:00 - Technicals vs. Astrology: The RSI at all-time lows03:30 - Price vs. Time-based capitulation explained04:50 - Is the four-year cycle officially dead?06:00 - Market structure: Monthly bottoms and October's crash10:00 - $500 Billion in sell-side pressure from OGs11:13 - Why institutions are no longer chasing the price14:58 - The debasement trade: Conviction in a crumbling society20:56 - Why retail mania migrated to AI38:44 - 2026 Outlook: Clown politicians and the gradual printℹ️ EPISODE SUMMARYBram Kanstein and macro analyst James van Straten discuss why the 2017 retail mania is dead and why institutions are now playing a much more patient game. We explore the $500 billion sell-side pressure from OGs, the reality of time-based capitulation, and why the traditional four-year cycle might be over. James breaks down the RSI technicals that signal a major bottom and explains why the "debasement trade" is the only thesis that matters as society faces compounding inflation and political failure.