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Jun 20, 2022 23 min

Black Swan and Scarcity

from Patel Me About It Hosted by Neha Patel

What happens when markets are sanctioned or bankrupt (ex. Russia FLRU ETF, Greece, Luckin Coffee, Hertz), derivatives market is mild-boggling, futures ETFs go into contango and incur big losses (ex. oil, bitcoin), Kalshi news betting platform, people aren't great predictors because we underestimate chance and base rate statistics, worst assumption is a sensational story of flawed human thought and fear, tunnel vision in moments of scarcity and trade offs, fewer choices makes people better decision makers.

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Black Swan and Scarcity

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