EPISODE · Jul 5, 2025 · 51 MIN
Breaking Down ARK's $2.5T SpaceX Valuation w/ Sam Korus & Aaron Burnett 🚀
from HyperChange · host Gali
Bringing back the podcast with a BANGER episode featuring Sam Korus of ARK Invest and Aaron Burnett of Mach33 research. They have teamed up to release potentially the most thorough and in-depth valuation model of SpaceX ever made public. Breaking down the value of Starlink vs the Launch business and how Mars takes the potential valuation to $10T and beyond. I learned a ton from their open-source model and would highly recommend checking it out. Sam Korus on X: https://x.com/skorusARKAaron Burnett on X: https://x.com/aarontburnettARK Invest SpaceX Valuation Model: https://www.ark-invest.com/articles/valuation-models/ark-expected-value-spacex-2030Mach33 SpaceX Valuation Blog: https://research.33fg.com/analysis/spacex-at-escape-velocity-ark-mach33-s-2-5t-2030-valuation-model0:00 Intro2:48 Are you invested in SpaceX?4:50 How is SpaceX worth $2.5T by 2030?7:00 Starlink Network Capacity & Global Pricing9:15 SpaceX Revenue Projections (Through 2030)10:28 Starlink Network Bandwidth12:19 Fiber vs Starlink15:15 Too Many Satellites?17:40 Starlink TAM20:42 Starshield Potential21:46 Laser Interconnects23:58 Starlink Cash Flow $70B by 203024:28 Starlink IPO?27:39 Starlink Profits Fund Mars29:59 What’s the market cap of Mars?35:11 What’s SpaceX plan for Mars?40:25 SpaceX Business MoonshotsMy X: https://twitter.com/gfilcheHyperChange Patreon :) https://www.patreon.com/hyperchange Disclaimer: I'm invested in SpaceX. This show is not financial advice.
What this episode covers
Bringing back the podcast with a BANGER episode featuring Sam Korus of ARK Invest and Aaron Burnett of Mach33 research. They have teamed up to release potentially the most thorough and in-depth valuation model of SpaceX ever made public. Breaking down the value of Starlink vs the Launch business and how Mars takes the potential valuation to $10T and beyond. I learned a ton from their open-source model and would highly recommend checking it out. Sam Korus on X: https://x.com/skorusARKAaron Burnett on X: https://x.com/aarontburnettARK Invest SpaceX Valuation Model: https://www.ark-invest.com/articles/valuation-models/ark-expected-value-spacex-2030Mach33 SpaceX Valuation Blog: https://research.33fg.com/analysis/spacex-at-escape-velocity-ark-mach33-s-2-5t-2030-valuation-model0:00 Intro2:48 Are you invested in SpaceX?4:50 How is SpaceX worth $2.5T by 2030?7:00 Starlink Network Capacity & Global Pricing9:15 SpaceX Revenue Projections (Through 2030)10:28 Starlink Network Bandwidth12:19 Fiber vs Starlink15:15 Too Many Satellites?17:40 Starlink TAM20:42 Starshield Potential21:46 Laser Interconnects23:58 Starlink Cash Flow $70B by 203024:28 Starlink IPO?27:39 Starlink Profits Fund Mars29:59 What’s the market cap of Mars?35:11 What’s SpaceX plan for Mars?40:25 SpaceX Business MoonshotsMy X: https://twitter.com/gfilcheHyperChange Patreon :) https://www.patreon.com/hyperchange Disclaimer: I'm invested in SpaceX. This show is not financial advice.
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Breaking Down ARK's $2.5T SpaceX Valuation w/ Sam Korus & Aaron Burnett 🚀
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