Can AI predict incrementality without running experiments? episode artwork

EPISODE · Jun 29, 2026 · 24 MIN

Can AI predict incrementality without running experiments?

from Brandformance · host Pranav Piyush

Can AI accurately predict marketing incrementality without running a randomized controlled trial?In this episode, Pranay Piyush and Sundar Swaminathan break down a new marketing science paper introducing Predicted Incrementality by Experimentation (PI) and discuss what it means for marketers, ad platforms, and measurement teams.They cover:How PI predicts incrementality using historical experimentsWhy the model achieved an 0.88 R²Whether AI can reduce the need for randomized controlled trials (RCTs)What this means for Meta's incremental attributionWhy benchmarks can be misleadingWhich companies can benefit from predictive incrementality todayWhy RCTs remain the gold standardIf you're a CMO, growth leader, marketing scientist, or performance marketer, this episode offers a practical breakdown of one of the most interesting developments in marketing measurement this year.

Can AI accurately predict marketing incrementality without running a randomized controlled trial? In this episode, Pranay Piyush and Sundar Swaminathan break down a new marketing science paper introducing Predicted Incrementality by Experimentation (PI) and discuss what it means for marketers, ad platforms, and measurement teams. They cover: How PI predicts incrementality using historical experiments Why the model achieved an 0.88 R² Whether AI can reduce the need for randomized controlled...

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Can AI predict incrementality without running experiments?

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O Experimento com Guta Tolmasquim e Gabriel Mineiro O Experimento Branding e Growth têm uma certa rivalidade histórica. Cada um tende a trabalhar de forma isolada no marketing, disputar espaço, importância e orçamento. Para acabar com essa "tensão", Guta Tolmasquim - Fundadora do Purple Metrics - e Gabriel Costa (Mineiro) - Fundador do Merlin e Growth Leaders Academy - ícones de Branding e Growth respectivamente, se uniram para lançar O Experimento, o podcast que pretende fazer as pazes entre as duas áreas!O programa te convida a desafiar suas verdades absolutas, mostrando que as marcas só tendem a ganhar resultados mais expressivos com "brandformance". #PorTuPyme Brandformance AR "Achatemos la curva de la negatividad". Somos creyentes de la frase «En tiempo de crisis, hay oportunidades». Por ello, traemos un espacio para que emprendedores, Pymes y empresas medianas puedan hacer networking en streaming y dar a conocer su proyecto de forma gratuita. Te invitamos a achatar la curva de la negatividad y a motivar a otros emprendedores como nosotros. Do Change Marketing Now Matthias Riedl Welcome to Do Change Marketing Now – the podcast for marketers, founders, and brand builders who are tired of the same old playbook. Hosted by Matthias Riedl, CEO of DCMN and pioneer of Brandformance Marketing, this show is your backstage pass to bold strategies and smart leadership insights that actually move the needle.Matthias has helped over 400 digital brands scale with a unique mix of performance and brand thinking. Whether you’re building awareness, expanding internationally, or trying to break through a saturated market. He’s been there, done that, and is ready to share what works now.Each monthly episode delivers punchy perspectives and honest takes on modern marketing – from cutting through the noise to making people actually care about your brand.What to Expect:Monthly Drops: One high-impact episode per month, perfect for your commute, coffee break, or strategy reset.Brandformance-First: Deep dives into combining brand and performance for sustainable growth.Expert Inte

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This episode was published on June 29, 2026.

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Can AI accurately predict marketing incrementality without running a randomized controlled trial?In this episode, Pranay Piyush and Sundar Swaminathan break down a new marketing science paper introducing Predicted Incrementality by Experimentation...

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