Can Ferrari's Upgrades Win Monza? | 2026 Italian GP Preview

Ferrari roll into their home race with a second power unit token, a rumoured turbo change, and a livery built to honour Schumacher's 1996 Monza win — but is it enough to actually convert into a race win? Tom and Chris break down whether the upgrades stack up, plus everything else moving in F1 this week: Norris' new deal through 2030, Colapinto staying put at Alpine, the increasingly open Haas seat, and a theory on whether Toyota could be eyeing Yuki Tsunoda. Plus, Antonelli's grid penalty, the track's four straight-line mode zones, Isaac Hajar's wrist injury, and Russell's shot at cutting into the championship lead — before locking in this week's predictions. 00:00 Intro 01:11 Norris signs until 2030, gets his title-winning MCL39 chassis 05:45 Colapinto stays at Alpine for '27, Gasly locked in 06:14 The Haas seat — who's replacing Ocon? 08:02 Could Toyota poach Tsunoda from Honda for a Japanese line-up? 12:40 Alonso rules himself out of Alpine 14:13 FIA's power unit token review — nobody gets extra tokens 17:30 Ferrari's Schumacher tribute livery for Monza 20:41 Antonelli's grid penalty and Monza's overtaking potential 22:23 Can Ferrari's upgrades convert into a home win? 23:47 Monza's four straight-line mode zones 28:32 Does McLaren's recent form travel to Monza? 31:54 Hajar's wrist — does Lawson stay in? 34:43 Russell's chance to cut into Antonelli's lead 35:54 Predictions: pole and race winner 37:28 Predictions: first DNF and finishers 39:19 Predictions: the mystery driver (Hajar/Tsunoda) 42:59 Inbox: does Russell get a tow off Verstappen in Q3? 45:22 Outro Submit your own predictions and check out our fantasy leagues at backofthegrid.com Got a question for the inbox? Drop it in the comments or fin @BackOfTheGridF1 on socials #F1 #ItalianGP #Ferrari #Formula1