EPISODE · Sep 5, 2025 · 37 MIN
🔮 Can OpenAI outperform the Nasdaq?
from Exponential View by Azeem Azhar · host Azeem Azhar
OpenAI is expanding a secondary share sale that lets insiders sell about $10.3 billion of stock at roughly a $500 billion valuation. That raised a simple question: is a private slice of OpenAI better than buying the Nasdaq?I have an exclusive essay ready for members (arriving in your inboxes tomorrow!) breaking down the math and my assumptions in detail. Become a premium member to receive it in full tomorrow morning.Ahead of this release, I did a quick live chat with EV readers to share my initial assumptions and answer your questions. We covered:* What helps OpenAI’s case,* What tempers its case,* And Q&A including on compute & energy constraints, competition and regulation.Although I was skeptical at first, my calculations suggest that there is a path for OpenAI to deliver outsized returns. More in tomorrow's essay!AzeemP.S. Keep in mind that none of this is financial advice - only a thought experiment about the future. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.exponentialview.co/subscribe
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🔮 Can OpenAI outperform the Nasdaq?
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