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Can the Spring Melt Up Continue?

An episode of the Casual Friday: Financial Insights podcast, hosted by Ford Financial Group, titled "Can the Spring Melt Up Continue?" was published on March 31, 2023 and runs 12 minutes.

March 31, 2023 ·12m · Casual Friday: Financial Insights

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Find us at FordFG.com Email us at [email protected] This week Brian talks about how March was a volatile month, but seasonality patterns prevailed, as stocks stuck to the script of back half outperformance. April seasonality trends suggest the melt up could continue. Since 1950, the S&P 500 has posted average and median April returns of 1.5% and 1.2%, respectively. Historical return progressions for April show a strong first half of the month. During the first 12 trading days, the S&P...

Find us at FordFG.com
Email us at [email protected]

This week Brian talks about how March was a volatile month, but seasonality patterns prevailed, as stocks stuck to the script of back half outperformance. April seasonality trends suggest the melt up could continue. Since 1950, the S&P 500 has posted average and median April returns of 1.5% and 1.2%, respectively.

Historical return progressions for April show a strong first half of the month. During the first 12 trading days, the S&P 500 has historically climbed 1.4%, capturing the majority of the gains for the month. The market avoided breaking below the December lows this quarter, triggering a bullish signal on the December Low indicator.

Chart: S&P 500 Daily March Progression

Chart: S&P 500 Monthly Returns

Chart: S&P 500 Daily April Progression

Chart: December Lows Indicator

Tracking # 1-05366146, 424964-1

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