EPISODE · Mar 4, 2026 · 19 MIN
Canola Breaks $700 and Diesel & Urea Just Got Ugly (March 2026 Update)
from What the Futures! · host Ryan Denis
Canola just broke $700, but a weekend escalation in the Middle East is sending diesel and fertilizer costs through the roof. In this week's Cup of Coffee, Ryan breaks down what's moving markets and what farmers should do RIGHT NOW about fuel, urea, and canola hedging. Guest Quintin from JGL Capital joins to walk through the two hedging strategies dominating broker conversations this week: straight puts (with implied volatility still low) and selling futures with an upside insurance call. Plus: Should you fill your fuel tanks today or wait? TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 — Opening & Market Prices (Canola $703 May / $707 Nov) 2:28 — Grain Prices: $15 Canola, $9 Yellow Peas, $8.25 HRSW 4:50 — Input Prices: Diesel 97¢–$1.21/L, Urea $1,100–$1,140/ton 7:05 — Viewer Questions: Fuel timing, wheat targets, raising hedge levels 9:01 — Headlines: Brazil Soy Cut, China Tariff Drop, Strait of Hormuz 11:00 — Guest: Quinton from JGL Capital 12:40 — Are Farmer Margins Actually Getting Worse in 2026? 14:02 — Canola Rally: Why It's Holding Steady Above $700 16:40 — Two Canola Hedging Strategies Right Now (Puts vs. Futures + Call) 18:00 — Wheat Outlook: Funds Buying Back Shorts, Basis Still Brutal LINKS & RESOURCES: - JGL Capital (Quinton): https://www.jglcapital.com AGi3 Precision Insurance: https://www.agi3.ai What The Futures Podcast: https://www.whatthefuturespodcast.ca Ryan's Email: [email protected] - Susan Stroud / No Bull Ag (referenced) AgRule Brazil Soy Production Report Quote of the week from Susan Stroud: "When markets pay you for uncertainty, take them up on it." ️ Cup of Coffee airs LIVE every Tuesday at 8:00 AM MST on YouTube. Listen to the show on the go. https://open.spotify.com/show/3xz7OvO7P0WDW8mAx25L1y?si=bd51356530834599 https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/what-the-futures/id1715185428
What this episode covers
Canola just broke $700, but a weekend escalation in the Middle East is sending diesel and fertilizer costs through the roof. In this week's Cup of Coffee, Ryan breaks down what's moving markets and what farmers should do RIGHT NOW about fuel, urea, and canola hedging. Guest Quintin from JGL Capital joins to walk through the two hedging strategies dominating broker conversations this week: straight puts (with implied volatility still low) and selling futures with an upside insurance call. Plus: Should you fill your fuel tanks today or wait? TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 — Opening & Market Prices (Canola $703 May / $707 Nov) 2:28 — Grain Prices: $15 Canola, $9 Yellow Peas, $8.25 HRSW 4:50 — Input Prices: Diesel 97¢–$1.21/L, Urea $1,100–$1,140/ton 7:05 — Viewer Questions: Fuel timing, wheat targets, raising hedge levels 9:01 — Headlines: Brazil Soy Cut, China Tariff Drop, Strait of Hormuz 11:00 — Guest: Quinton from JGL Capital 12:40 — Are Farmer Margins Actually Getting Worse in 2026? 14:02 — Canola Rally: Why It's Holding Steady Above $700 16:40 — Two Canola Hedging Strategies Right Now (Puts vs. Futures + Call) 18:00 — Wheat Outlook: Funds Buying Back Shorts, Basis Still Brutal LINKS & RESOURCES: - JGL Capital (Quinton): https://www.jglcapital.com AGi3 Precision Insurance: https://www.agi3.ai What The Futures Podcast: https://www.whatthefuturespodcast.ca Ryan's Email: [email protected] - Susan Stroud / No Bull Ag (referenced) AgRule Brazil Soy Production Report Quote of the week from Susan Stroud: "When markets pay you for uncertainty, take them up on it." ️ Cup of Coffee airs LIVE every Tuesday at 8:00 AM MST on YouTube. Listen to the show on the go. https://open.spotify.com/show/3xz7OvO7P0WDW8mAx25L1y?si=bd51356530834599 https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/what-the-futures/id1715185428
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Canola Breaks $700 and Diesel & Urea Just Got Ugly (March 2026 Update)
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