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EPISODE · Jan 9, 2026 · 3 MIN

CAPE 40 Warning: Small Caps and Defense Lead Market Rotation

from The SPY Trader · host Manoj Sharma

Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1482. Ahead of today's critical jobs report, the market shows sharp rotation, with the Russell 2000 and value stocks leading, while megacap tech lags. We analyze the powerful catalyst driving defense stocks (LMT, NOC) due to a proposed budget hike and discuss the highrisk environment signaled by the S&P 500's historically elevated CAPE ratio (39.9). Key recommendations cover participating in the broadening rally (VTI), exploiting the defense sector, maintaining balanced tech exposure (QQQ), and implementing crucial hedges (BND, GLD).

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CAPE 40 Warning: Small Caps and Defense Lead Market Rotation

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