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Dec 24, 2025 49 min

CAUTION… Santa Clause Rally Ahead

from Money Tree Investing

Should you be buying this precious metal this Christmas? Find out what it is today as we reflect on how instant gratification, social media, and shifting consumer behavior mirror broader economic changes. We also talk practical year-end investing discipline, including portfolio "hygiene," investor psychology alignment, rule-based decision making, and tax-loss harvesting strategies. We explore assesing holdings as if investing fresh today, managing oversized winners and stagnant losers, watching natural market turning points around year-end, while also exploring inflation trends, shrinkflation, housing affordability, and generational cost pressures. We also urge listeners to use the final weeks of the year to review risks, taxes, family financial clarity, and opportunities ahead. Thoughtful preparation, not momentum or emotion, drives long-term investment success. We discuss... The importance of year-end portfolio assessment, emphasizing reviewing holdings as if investing fresh today to determine alignment with investor psychology. Manage oversized winners, stagnant losers, and follow disciplined, rule-based investment practices rather than ego-driven decisions. Tax-loss harvesting is a key strategy, including the special advantage that crypto is treated as property and not subject to the 30-day wash-sale rule. Monitoring natural market turning points, particularly around year-end, to identify potential buying opportunities in beaten-down assets. Gold's leadership in the rally, silver's sharp recent gains, and the implications of JP Morgan shifting from short to long silver positions. Basel III banking regulations and the possibility of global banks increasing gold holdings if U.S. deficits rise above projected thresholds. Strategies for buying gold and silver, emphasizing buying for weight to minimize premiums and potentially profiting from historical spreads in coin pricing. Have caution with rare coin premiums, only experienced investors should consider numismatic factors, otherwise stick to weight-based purchases. Inflation indicators, using Campbell's Soup can pricing as a proxy for quality-adjusted inflation over decades. Shrinkflation and the rising cost of essentials for younger generations, noting housing, insurance, and other expenses have outpaced wages. Recent trends in housing, including declining new home prices but smaller home sizes, illustrating hidden inflation and cost pressures. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | Mergent College Advisors Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/santa-clause-rally-ahead-775

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The Investor's Podcast (We Study Billionaires) - The Investor’s Podcast Network The Investor's Podcast Network Hosted by Stig Brodersen, William Green, Shawn O'Malley, Daniel Mahncke, and Kyle Grieve, The Investor’s Podcast has proudly reached nearly 200 million downloads, as the world's largest stock-investing focused podcast. On the show, we study a range of businesses and their investment prospects, from Spotify to Amazon, serial acquirers like Constellation Software, deep value plays, and more, using lessons from some of the world's most famous investors, like Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger, and Howard Marks. Leverage the lessons we learned from studying, and talking to, the wo Capital Ideas podcast Capital Group Want to learn how professional investors do it? The Capital Ideas podcast brings you the latest investment thinking from Capital Group, one of the world's largest investment management organizations. Each week we'll get inside the minds of portfolio managers, analysts and economists to break down market trends, macroeconomic forces, investing approaches and lessons learned from personal experience. Take 30 minutes and tap into the intellectual capital of Capital Group. Capital Client Group, Inc.All Capital Group trademarks mentioned are owned by The Capital Group Companies, Inc., an affiliated company or fund. All other company and product names mentioned are the property of their respective companies.For full disclosures go to capitalgroup.com/global-disclosures.

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This episode is 49 minutes long.

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This episode was published on December 24, 2025.

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