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CD194: SIDESWAP - LIQUID PREDICTION MARKETS episode artwork

Mar 9, 2026 58 min

CD194: SIDESWAP - LIQUID PREDICTION MARKETS

from Citadel Dispatch Hosted by ODELL

Scott, cofounder of SideSwap, joins the show to talk about what his team has been quietly building in the Liquid ecosystem. We cover SideSwap's atomic swap markets, their peg-in/peg-out service, and how partners like Aqua Wallet are plugging into their infrastructure. Scott breaks down the new Liquid Connect feature, their first Simplicity based binary outcome contracts on Swaption, and the roadmap toward Bitcoin native prediction markets on Liquid. We also get into Liquid's privacy advantages over Tron and Ethereum for Tether users, the surprising growth of the Brazilian stablecoin dePix, the federation trust model debate, and why liquid adoption has been slow but may finally be turning a corner. Sideswap: https://sideswap.io Swaption: https://swaption.io Liquid Explorer: https://liquid.network Tether Stats: https://usdt.network Sideswap on X: https://x.com/side_swap EPISODE: 194 BLOCK: 940011 PRICE: 1452 sats per dollar (03:00) Introducing Scott and Sideswap (05:01) Non‑custodial swaps, peg‑in/peg‑out, and order books (08:08) Liquidity on Liquid: USDT vs. dePix in Brazil (10:03) Market making tools and dealer participation (11:58) Why Liquid adoption lagged and what may change (14:08) Confidential transactions, Tether on Liquid, and privacy gains (18:10) USDT on Liquid: issuance, custody patterns, and censorship resistance (21:08) Prediction markets on Liquid: vision and building blocks (24:46) Designing binary contracts and oracle models (28:54) Trust models: Liquid federation vs. alt L2s (33:29) Pragmatism in scaling: Spark, Phoenix, and layered ledgers (36:33) Liquid Wallet Connect and Swaption MVP (41:13) Ecosystem growth, integrations, and Brazil network effects (43:19) Simplicity on Liquid: why it matters for Bitcoiners (46:26) Calls to action: try swaps, order books, and Swaption (50:31) User experience: Lightning vs. Liquid in practice (52:41) AI agents and potential Liquid use cases (54:46) Roadmap: Satoshi Dice, oracles, and a Polymarket‑style proof of concept more info on the show: https://citadeldispatch.com learn more about me: https://odell.xyz monitor the situation: https://citadelwire.com

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CD194: SIDESWAP - LIQUID PREDICTION MARKETS

0:00 58:52

Chapters

  1. 3:00 Introducing Scott and Sideswap
  2. 5:01 Non‑custodial swaps, peg‑in/peg‑out, and order books
  3. 8:08 Liquidity on Liquid: USDT vs. dePix in Brazil
  4. 10:03 Market making tools and dealer participation
  5. 11:58 Why Liquid adoption lagged and what may change
  6. 14:08 Confidential transactions, Tether on Liquid, and privacy gains
  7. 18:10 USDT on Liquid: issuance, custody patterns, and censorship resistance
  8. 21:08 Prediction markets on Liquid: vision and building blocks
  9. 24:46 Designing binary contracts and oracle models
  10. 28:54 Trust models: Liquid federation vs. alt L2s
  11. 33:29 Pragmatism in scaling: Spark, Phoenix, and layered ledgers
  12. 36:33 Liquid Wallet Connect and Swaption MVP
  13. 41:13 Ecosystem growth, integrations, and Brazil network effects
  14. 43:19 Simplicity on Liquid: why it matters for Bitcoiners
  15. 46:26 Calls to action: try swaps, order books, and Swaption
  16. 50:31 User experience: Lightning vs. Liquid in practice
  17. 52:41 AI agents and potential Liquid use cases
  18. 54:46 Roadmap: Satoshi Dice, oracles, and a Polymarket‑style proof of concept

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This episode was published on March 9, 2026.

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