Could Housing Crash? | ZFS 92

Send us Fan MailEverybody on TikTok is telling you the housing market is collapsing. 227,000 foreclosures. Homes crashing 80 to 90%. A $1.5 million house selling for $300,000. I went through the three most viral clips making these claims and I brought something none of them did. Math.Here is what is actually happening. Those 227,000 are foreclosure filings, not completed foreclosures. There is a massive difference. Back in 2010 there were 1.65 million filings and most of them never became foreclosures. Right now only 1.26% of homeowners are 30 or more days past due on their mortgage. In 2012 that number was 14%. We are nowhere near a crash by the actual data.I also explain why most homeowners today are structurally protected. If you bought or refinanced before 2023 you have a low mortgage payment and real equity, which means even if you struggle you can sell and walk away with money instead of getting foreclosed on. That is the opposite of 2008.And here is the part nobody wants to hear. The only two times housing has actually crashed 20% or more in American history were the Great Depression and the 2008 financial crisis. Both times it took mass unemployment to get there. A crash does not help the working class. It transfers assets from struggling families to the people who already own everything. Be careful what you wish for.I close with the Iran war, the Strait of Hormuz still being choked off, and Trump's latest truth threatening to bomb Iranian infrastructure every time a ship gets hit.Support the show