Daily Briefing — July 19, 2026 | Hormuz, Chips, and the AI Spending Reckoning

This week's briefing covers the reinstated U.S. blockade on the Strait of Hormuz and the 20% transit fee that sent oil surging, plus how the Fed under Chair Kevin Warsh is weighing that shock against softening inflation data. We break down Friday's broad equity selloff — the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow all lower on the week — and trace its roots to a new Chinese AI model from Moonshot and a TSMC earnings report that raised more capex questions than it answered. From there we follow the selloff across the Pacific, where Japan's Nikkei had its worst session in months and Shanghai hit an eleven-month low on IPO-driven liquidity concerns, before landing on the one Magnificent Seven stock bucking the trend entirely: Apple, now within reach of a $5 trillion valuation. We close with the reported Meta-Anthropic compute deal and what it says about how blurred the lines between AI competitors have become. As always, this is a factual market recap, not investment advice