Day 12: "Nothing Left to Target" — But the Strait Is Still Burning

On March 11, 2026, President Trump told Axios there is practically nothing left to target in Iran. On the same day, Iran attacked three more cargo ships in the Strait of Hormuz, the IRGC declared regional banks and financial centers as military targets, and the IEA announced the largest emergency oil release in history: 400 million barrels. A second girls school was hit by a double strike. Civilian deaths in Iran crossed 1,000 including 181 children under 10.This episode tests Trump claim against the battlefield data: CENTCOM destroyed an entire class of Iranian warships and 16 minelayers, but Iran retains 80 to 90 percent of its small boat and mine laying capacity. The IEA release sounds massive, but at 100 million barrels per day of global consumption, it buys roughly 4 days. Oil is still up 17 percent from pre war levels. Iran warns of $200 a barrel.Sources for this episode are available at: https://nbn.fm/war-desk/episode/ep77About War DeskWar Desk is an investigative podcast using AI assisted analysis of military intelligence, diplomatic signals, and conflict data to assess global war risk, with sources and references published on our website for verification.Subscribe to NBN's NewsletterGet new investigations, new shows, and the raw intelligence you won't find anywhere else straight to your inbox.Sign up at nbn.fm/newsletter.