EPISODE · Oct 24, 2025 · 6 MIN
第四章：用概率思考问题
from 创业的极端不确定性
真正的「概率思维」不是预测未来，而是设计选择。马斯克用 10% 的机率改写历史，Netflix 用 40% 颠覆产业，贝佐斯用容错堆出帝国。不要害怕小概率事件，它们才是让世界前进的真正力量。在小宇宙查看该单集文稿
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第四章：用概率思考问题
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