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Does "Seasonality" Support a December Rally?

An episode of the Casual Friday: Financial Insights podcast, hosted by Ford Financial Group, titled "Does "Seasonality" Support a December Rally?" was published on December 3, 2022 and runs 13 minutes.

December 3, 2022 ·13m · Casual Friday: Financial Insights

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Is hope an investing strategy? No, but as November draws to a close, many investors are hoping some holiday cheer in stock markets and a potential December rally. In this episode Brian takes a look at what clues seasonality data may give us for stock market performance in December. It turns out that while, historically, December has been a very strong month for stocks, in recent years seasonality trends have been weaker, and a December rally has often failed to appear following a diffi...

Is hope an investing strategy? No, but as November draws to a close, many investors are hoping some holiday cheer in stock markets and a potential December rally. 

In this episode Brian takes a look at what clues seasonality data may give us for stock market performance in December. It turns out that while, historically, December has been a very strong month for stocks, in recent years seasonality trends have been weaker, and a December rally has often failed to appear following a difficult year for stocks.

Charts:

  1. December up more than any other month
  2. December seasonality not as strong lately
  3. A bad year or midterm can stifle a December rally

Tracking # 1-05349041

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