EPISODE · Dec 16, 2025 · 16 MIN
Does the US labor market support the Fed’s revised reaction function?
from The Macro Minute with Darius Dale · host 42 Macro
Today’s Macro Minute unpacks how rising unemployment and softening payrolls confirm the Fed’s shift toward a more dovish reaction function. Darius explains why investors should expect policy easing through the first half of 2026 and how crowded bullish positioning raises the risk of bubbles in stocks, gold, and Bitcoin. He also highlights historic optimism among global asset managers and answers a KISS user question on why the model favors gold over Bitcoin in the current regime.
What this episode covers
The Macro Minute is a daily morning podcast of what 42 Macro Founder & CEO Darius Dale is seeing in the overnight markets and where he\'s focused before the US stock market open.
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Does the US labor market support the Fed’s revised reaction function?
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