Dogs With Fleas

Stay protected from mayhem this year when you switch and save with Allstate. The underdog is Howling. Stayed for Steve and the bear. Ah yes, a home team getting points.

What's better than that? Welcome in week seven. Stayed for Steve and the bear podcast. All the games we want to talk about.

Every Power Five conference has a ranked versus ranked matchup. But bear, let's start week seven because this is what you normally do. You start chasing soccer under. You have started to tell.

Go ahead. Yeah, now, initially appreciated by our guy, John Murray from the Super Bowl. There's also a scout or a guy in back in Liverpool. It was one of those things where I'm sitting here in the hotel yesterday in Chicago getting ready for the daily wager and getting ready for right in the column late at night, getting ready for the Bears and the commanders.

I decided to be in Liverpool. It's kind of struggling right now, scoring goals and Rangers, particularly aren't a great goal, scoring team. I decided to fire in a little under four and a half adjusted total in the Liverpool Rangers match. Let's just say we chase that one up to under five and a half and the final score as many people know was Liverpool seven Rangers won.

So the Bears have done a whole to get this to begin this college football weekend outside of college football. So we'll be okay. Well, we'll play. I was wondering why you were so quiet during that second half because I was texting.

I was like, oh, we scored again and then nothing. It was radio silence. The bear man. No, I can never believe John.

That is the voice of John Murray from the Superbook Westgate. Best place to watch games on in Vegas. John, we want to have you on because I've been bearing our text before the lines come out Sunday morning and I'm going back and forth. What's this going to be?

I had talked even last week. If people could get a look ahead, I like Penn State. Somebody sent me a note that they had one of the books. They might have been one of the apps that they saw 10 with Penn State.

I said, grab all that right now. But I thought the biggest game where the dog was going to get all the money, bear calls them, you know, dogs with fleas that the public will jump on. The recency of San Bama looks so vulnerable against A&M late without a bright shot quarterback. I said Tennessee was going to get all the money.

Can you update us on where the money is and what you guys are going to need as far as Tennessee and Alabama? You were right. Everybody's on Tennessee. I mean, it's actually one of our most lost side to take accounts of the week.

I mean, we're talking on Thursday morning. I do think a lot of Alabama action will come in on Saturday. The public I do think will come in. You might see some bigger bets on Alabama, but we moved it from seven and a half to seven yesterday just doing an accumulation of tickets on the balls.

And look, our game of the year number on this game was 14, 14 and a half. So I don't know what you're stealing here taking seven with Tennessee. Obviously, we got to keep an eye on Bryce Young, his status for Saturday. I think you're going to know right away in this game how it's going to go guys.

Can Alabama's defense control Tennessee? Can they slow them down? Or is Tennessee able to just run up and down the field like they do against everybody else? If Alabama's defense can shut them down, I think Alabama's going to win easily.

That's a big F. I would expect I would go into the handicap of this game. At least I am going into the handicap of this game. I would expect Bryce to play.

And I think the bigger question mark might be on the other side of the ball. Does Cedric Tillman play for Tennessee? Obviously, that would be a massive loss for the balls. If he doesn't come back, he still has that high ankle screen that it's kind of slow healing.

So that'll be big. But you're right. First time they've been a single digit dog since 2008 and they've just been clamoring for when they've been in this situation before. If you go back to last 11 games versus Alabama and Georgia, I won 11.

I lost my 30 points of game. So I'd be curious to see if they get. I think this is the type of game where they either win the game outright or like you said, it kind of gets ugly and snowball side of control. Yeah.

I agree. That's exactly what I've seen. The public decides that Alabama is not as good as everybody thinks they are. And then they just roll.

And then it's like, oh, that's right. They're Alabama. They've got 30 NFL players on their roster and they're here to say again. So be careful firing in against the Crimson Tide, especially, like I said, the game of the year number will about a touchdown higher.

One quick follow up on that. If Bryce Young, if he gets announced to be safe, say Friday or early Saturday morning, can that line jump back up to like eight or more? I think you'll see a go up a touch, but it's already built in there. That's right.

And remember too, like even if they let's just say that now he was in Saturday morning, we would proceed. If he wasn't 100% healthy. So it's not like it's not like a fully healthy Bryce Young is taking field in which case I think it's the number climb up a little bit higher. The other game that I think I would expect to be a very trendy public underdog, a team that usually attracts a lot of action is USC.

Three and a half point dog at Utah who just gave up a million points in yards last week to use the lake. And now I think people like the average better out there. Utah's got two losses. USC six and a half.

Why is Utah favorite? I actually went back and looked and I like looking at certain situations. It's not just that you wouldn't want to bet the game based on just historical trim, but I like looking at little historical notes. And if you go back since 2015, you got 15 times where you've had a team six and a were better that has been an underdog to a team with at least two losses.

And the 15 teams that were six and a were better went three and 12 straight up. So I think that goes to show just how the power ratings are so much different and weigh in so much more than just seeing a team four and two versus six. Oh, there's no doubt. And the public is all over the trojans in this game.

And I'm glad you guys didn't have me on the show last week because if you asked me last week, I would say Utah is the class in fact 12. That's what I thought coming in. I thought that going into Saturday, UCLA was incredibly impressive on Saturday. They just took they took care of business against Utah.

This could be a get right spot for Utah. USC played a very weak schedule. I mean, go back to that Oregon State game when they barely beat the beavers in Corvallis. At the time we thought Oregon State was pretty good.

Well, now we know that's not really true. Oregon State is a very average team at best. And USC barely escaped their lives in that game. This looks like a very a stay away from public type dog on USC.

We got about four to one tickets on the Trojans in this game. And I think it's a really bad spot for USC. I agree on all fronts. I have I have you telling our column for our picks this week to other games that I have picks on that are ranked versus rank.

Penn State's at Michigan. I touched on it earlier. It's seven. It feels a lot less of the money compared when you're talking about those two games is on the dog here.

But I just think of the capability everybody's going to talk about Franklin. I get it. We've been tough on him in these circumstances. But I feel like this Penn State team is different with the defense and the secondary and the NFL guys they have there.

And this team can run the ball with two guys. It's you guys averaging over five yards carry one guys averaging over seven yards of carry and Michigan. It's tough to hold them up to last year's Michigan team. But when I go back and watch last year's game like Penn State was in that game.

They could have won that game. So what are your thoughts here and where's the money of Penn State Michigan? Well, the sharp money is on Penn State. You know, they took seven and a half and then really sharp money on the under guys.

We almost total two high. We were at 53. We're down to 50 and a half on the total. So expecting kind of what you're talking about dog fight.

Both teams trying to run the football run the clock. I will say that the sharp guys are on Penn State. So in the public, it's about 67% of the tickets at the Superbook on Penn State. I would not have expected that.

I knew the public was going to be on USC. I thought they'd be on Tennessee. I didn't really expect them to come in on Penn State as much as they have. So that would scare me a little bit if I was playing in any line side.

But I know Michigan's played a really weak schedule. We just talked about that with USC. That's true of Michigan as well. So we're going to find out how good Michigan really is on Saturday.

They lost so many guys from that playoff team last year. How good are they this year? We'll find out early kickoff Saturday, 9 a.m. in Vegas right off the bat.

We're a really good game on Saturday morning. It should be awesome. Yeah, we've been re-entered about how Penn State struggled in the spots since beating Wisconsin, upsetting the Badgers in that 2016 Big Ten Championship game. Oh, and nine versus top 10 teams.

But five of the losses have come up four points or three years. So they've been in these games. We'll see if they can break it. And everyone talks about Michigan schedule, how good are they?

Ninety-five, three-eight schedule in the country. Penn State schedule is 90th. So I think you're right. We're going to find out a little bit more about both these teams.

Another game that I think might just be a little bit of a public dog almost by default because it's kind of like right now how to help you walk to a window in say, in the Oklahoma. Like I would assume that Dylan Gabriel is going to be back. But again, I think this is another game where people are saying, wow, how can you bet Oklahoma at that? Do you believe that people still walk to the window and vent instead of downloading the certain mobile app just carrying Chris?

They walk to the window because they want us to walk to the sun. Well, yeah, that's true. And I welcome that. Look, everybody's on Kansas.

Another public. This is a week of the public dog. Everybody's on Kansas. Nothing that I would call sharp on this game on the side.

Very respected player went under 64 and a half and went down to 62. This is going to be a one and done for Brenton-Bennables in Norman. And I don't know. I wouldn't play Kansas in the spot with the back and quarterback.

I think that they're awakening a little bit on Saturday against TCU. I think I know I understand why we're on Kansas is what I'm trying to say. Nobody wants to bet on Oklahoma right now. But after that, 49 and nothing loss, the Texas on Saturday.

It feels like it's a weekly thing when I say this, but people can't forget what they saw last week. And that's that they're so antsy to think about what they just saw and lay their money accordingly. And that's I think totally the case there. They just can't get out of their minds with Oklahoma.

Looks like and I get it. It's really tough to do. But I don't think Kansas can play better with backup quarterback than they did in a second half against TCU. They were tremendous and not giving up the fight there.

We mentioned TCU. It's a team that I've fallen in love with. Baron and I talked about in preseason. Sunny Dyches, we love the higher there.

And when I look at this matchup, they're leading the country in over eight yards per play. Bear pointed this out and I've taken it wrong with it. Texas Tech offense against that Oklahoma State defense last week. Oklahoma State's defense was on the field for 104 plays.

And when I'm watching the game back, I see, you know, corners are out, safeties are going out and they're not coming back in this game. Gundy, obviously going to be hush hush about injuries. But I like this matchup for TCU. I know Gundy's been awesome as an underdog, as bears pointing out with his notes on Twitter and all his research.

Where are we at with Oklahoma State and TCU? Well, TCU's got so much firepower on offense. Instead of the plays they were receivers made last Saturday in Lawrence for iPod. They really, really talented offensive team.

The one thing I'll say about this game, at least on this Twitter book, it's kind of got lost in the shuffle guys. There's too many good games this week. And there's just, there's not a lot of action on Oklahoma State TCU, a little bit of money on TCU, a little bit of money on the over. We went from three and a half up to four on the favorite Horns for Augs, but not a lot to report.

It's like, we've had some weak Saturdays, I think in my opinion at least the last few weeks now. This Saturday is just ridiculous. There's so many good games. And unfortunately, at least right now, that one's kind of getting lost.

Not much to report on in terms of sharp action in public action yet. I forgot to roll a little bit of money away on a hundred-to-one ticket on that stuck into one of the Heisman last week. Just the same thing. I mean, look, if they went to big 12 and 13 and 0 and they're in the call to a ball playoff, like he's going to be invited to New York.

Who knows what's going to happen? I assume CJ's right is going to win. But you know what? I've made a hell of a lot of worse, but under five and a half of Liverpool Rangers are far worse back than that.

That's not going to be a hundred to one to win in the Heisman. It pains me to picture you in pain watching Liverpool record goals like that. That means me just thinking this picture. Especially while you're preparing to watch the Washington, Chicago NFL game.

It just sounds like a bad afternoon for you. We just got through our production meeting and I think my eyes were on fire looking at all the bad offensive graphic numbers. You mentioned about how many great games are out of this week and how many games got lost in the shovel. Clemson, Florida State is another one of those games.

Steve and I were talking again earlier on in the week when I saw this number, I had two questions. I have one question kind of two prongs to ask. Is it just a lot of respect for Florida State or is it not a lot of respect for Clemson because I was surprised to see this number three and a half where it is? Well, we opened it four and a half and we had a very respected player in about it take a four and a half and move this down to three and a half.

So even though the public money is obviously on Clemson as you expected to be, right? That looks like exactly the kind of game the public is involved in. That cheap road favorite. We talk about that all the time.

The sharp guys are on the dog here. I think it's more of an indictment of Clemson. Clemson is a team with the wise guys. They don't really trust them.

They've faded a lot this season. Clemson, I know they're undefeated. They've escaped a couple of times. There's not a lot of confidence in that Clemson offense.

This is not the Clemson team from a few years ago that was many national championships. We're seeing the sharp guys coming on the dog here. I forgot about this game until Steve mentioned it before we started recording. Steve brought it up.

That's on Saturday as well. There's just too many good games. I had to look all that up while we were talking. But again, another great game, another great matchup buried in the deck on what's going to be a great Saturday.

This mayhem moment is brought to you by Allstate. Protect yourself from mayhem and save money by switching to Allstate. One other game in the A-C, it's ranked versus ranked at Sensi State at Syracuse. And I can't believe Syracuse's strength of record is this high knowing that they played the likes of Wagner and Yukon and Virginia.

But before we get into the money and where it is in this game, how confident are you guys in having a feel on what you know about Syracuse? I don't know that we're confident at all that we know about Syracuse because they played a weak schedule. I don't have a, I wouldn't say I've got a particularly good read on Syracuse. It's kind of game where you set the number.

You let the players, the respect kind of guide you. We were at 4.5. We had a sharp player in Colorado. He took the 4.5 and now we're down to 3.5.

The money and the tickets are very balanced on this game. But you know, you want to trust what you see from your sharper players, the guys that you respect. They took the dog here and we were knowing that as we booked this game. Yeah, I don't know if I can honestly trust either team here because you're probably going to get the backup quarterback for NC State who didn't complete a pass last week into the NOLS and then Syracuse.

The record has zero in the lost column, but how they beat Purdue and how they beat Virginia. I don't know. So this is going to be a stay away from me. Are there any other games out there?

Any other size or something that may be like kind of raised in Ivar as to taking this unusual option? Yeah, I think the one really interesting game is Nebraska Purdue. I mean, we say really sharp guys on both sides of that game. I think it's going to briefly was over two touchdowns.

They took Nebraska. They took those points. We got as low as 12 and then we have players we respect. Lang 12, Lang 13, we're back up to 13 and a half.

I think we talked about this when I was on the show in the preseason. I'm always wrong about Nebraska. I just, no matter what I do with Nebraska is just wrong, wrong, wrong. I kind of like them again on Saturday.

So do with that, do with that information, whatever you guys want. It's funny you said that Nebraska is sitting here laughing. You say that because I think back to the preseason Chris Andrews, everybody over at that point, when he was posting his power ratings in game of the year, I think it's like, okay, it's time for my annual year, my annual tradition of over rating Oklahoma going into the football season. This was not a good year to over rate Oklahoma.

Everybody, people in our line of work are wrong all the time. So I'm not making fun, but this was definitely the bad year for that Oklahoma. I can't believe I'm at Oklahoma. I was actually right there with Chris Andrews.

I thought Oklahoma was going to be much more competitive. I thought at the very least, you get that defense playing well and you just could not. I could not have been wrong about that. All right.

Before we let you go, obviously the most popular thing is NFL and we got to do Z tonight. How do you go about making a line? Commanders, Bears. Well, this is a game where you just put up a pick on them and then you just let the people bet it and then maybe you make plans.

Maybe this is a night when you take your wife out, you take your girlfriend out, you don't actually sit. I'm sorry, Bear. I know that you're going to be working this game. I'm Steve.

I think, you know, this I'm from the playing Virginia. I grew up. I went to Gonzaga High School in the District. I grew up a Redskins fan.

We had season tickets in the Redskins. I can't possibly sit through the skid. I mean, this is ridiculous. I don't know.

All I can really hope for with the commanders is they bench cards and wends and let one of those other quarterbacks try. What is the point of going through the motions at this point? Yeah. So Steve, kind of led you to the NFL and your NFL picks are legendary.

I know what Steve, you know, we give a pick. You used to give a pick. So if we didn't ask you to give us in your listening to your NFL pick this week. I don't know.

I mean, you can see the darkboard. I have before I do that show with Sammy P. I just throw it. You know, every now and then, you get lucky on something.

I think this could be a get right game for Green Bay guys. I mean, I think I think Green Bay, I don't know how they managed to blow that game last Sunday and London. That's my fault. I'm talking to you, sir, because my brother did it.

Yeah, no, I probably would use that. I was in the NBA against New England a couple weeks ago in that contest, or I might have been right there with you. But I don't know how they managed to lose that game. And the New York Jets, they are playing well, but they kind of stole that game against Pittsburgh and then they got, my Andy last week, they got the third string quarterback.

So I don't think they're quite as good as their record is. I've seen some sharp people late to seven at the Superbook. So I think Green Bay, possible get right spot for the Packers here against your Jets there. Very good.

Green Bay with the floor, also 10 and 0 straight up and 10 go ATS after a loss. So you are right in your thinking there, John. I appreciate you coming on and everybody loves getting this information. So it's our thanks to you and thanks again.

Oh, thank you guys. And from the boys here, give your best to coach for so. We're all thinking, so we will. Yeah, we look forward to seeing him again tomorrow from all reports that he will be back this week.

So that's awesome. Awesome. Thanks a lot, guys. Jimmy Kimmel Live personality, cousin cell icon who and his three childhood friends, lovingly known as a degenerate trifecta, breakdown the biggest gambling events of the week and their topics for games.

That's against all odds with cousin cell. Listen, wherever you are listening to this podcast. Again, thanks to john. Awesome food.

If you're ever out there, Westgate is the place to be watching games. Superbook, it is our technology. Yeah, I have to teach certain everything. Just to recap.

Bear, our picks are on ESPN.com now, the truck section and we touched on rank versus rank games. There. And I have picks, I think in all of them. I have a state plus of points.

That's a producer. It's a producer's dream. Right? I've done all the big games of the week.

Very simple. I have Penn State plus the points. I have Syracuse plus the points. I have Utah minus the points and we both have TCU minus the points.

points, anything, anything that you want to get to as to why you do like those? Yeah, the TCU I like because I think if you look at Oklahoma State, you hit on the stuff about the plays and the injuries. I went back and looked at all of the 15 undefeated teams. And if you look at like, it just did expected points on the offensive and defensive side of the ball, Oklahoma State doesn't rank in the top 10 in either category.

We've gotten some turnover, a little bit of turnover, expected standards has been good. But since they've gotten into big 12 play, he hasn't been as dynamic as he was early in the year. It feels like they don't have a ranking in the top 10, either offensive or defensive EPA amongst the 15 on the field teams. It just feels like, I don't want to say they're not able to get to team, but it seems like if they continue playing like this and allowing the points that they are, I've lost is going to find them.

And I think against TCU in this offense, I think that's the situation. And I laid the points with Alabama. Again, it's a lot of the reasons that John went into. It's more of a, if I lose backing Nick Saban and Dreyseung and Alabama against team they've dominated over the last 15 years.

Okay, I'm best of just have to make and be willing to lose. And that's a concurrency, one of the games sure. But I'm really looking forward to seeing how this game goes to start is so forward. Absolutely.

Couldn't agree more. I also have a pick of the battle between Owls. It's rice in Florida Atlantic. I'm going back to well with rice.

I game out week one. They proceed to give up 66 points and three pick sixes against USC. But I like what they're looking like now. I thought they would be better to start the season.

Obviously turnovers against top ranked teams is not going to help you in those instances. So I look at rice points in South Florida coming off of bye week and preceded that with a win over a good UAV team. I like rice this week in the battle of the Owls. Yeah, the other winter place temple, right?

Yeah. There was one other game that I did that I did right up at the column and I like and it was South Florida getting 12 against Julian. I've had to lane multiple times this year. And the green wave had been very good to be catching tickets every single instance that I have been on them.

But I think this is kind of an interesting spot in South Florida that the record is what the record is one in five now and it looks like I'm on the way to hitting that under four and a half season with all of them. But they did play Florida and Cincinnati tough. Now you're your home against the Chilean team, which might be looking a little bit ahead if I've got a bigger game with Memphis next week at home. I think the Chilean defense obviously best unit on the field.

And I think they'll get ultimately enough stops to win the game. Another one like 12 years, which lane was a team that I look to to to fade against the number this year. And I thought about about these Carolina as well, the team that you only beat last week. I think they're laying five to Memphis who absolutely blew that game last week on Friday night.

It's Houston. That might be a side to look at as well. Yeah, it's we know we touched on the Clemson Florida State. I just can't get there with Florida State.

I understand where people are saying. And you know, I've had people point out this is this is this is Clemson's biggest test to date because it's a it's they will have as many fans in the stadium as they did at Wake Forest and at Boston College. I understand all that. But it's it's too much unknown for me still what they look like in the second half where a had to lead and other team doesn't have their quarterback and they still can't come through.

They don't execute down the stretch and throw a pick in the end zone at end of that game. So I get it, but it's thinks and it's scared scared the heck out of me. So I'm touching that game. One other game I thought was interesting and it deals.

I mean, you guys are gonna have a field day with with them. I'll update quarterback injuries, Minnesota's Minnesota's at Illinois. And Illinois is right on the cusp of of cash and are over four and a half or no, they're already dead. No, they're four and one, right?

Oh, we got there. What do they do from here on out? I don't think the veto is going to play the way it sounds from what I've heard. Yeah.

And on the other side, I've heard Williams right now, either. That would be that would be something. So I look at Minnesota and going back and watching that Purdue loss. They didn't have Iberham and they come, you know, they moved the ball, you know, Miss Vuego, choosing to go for field goals, picking the red zone, you know, that's the stuff that happens when you're going to lose the game, especially as a favorite.

So I, I like Minnesota in the spot. I just don't want to give six and a half points in a game. That's going to be super, super low scoring. That's what I was going to say.

I don't, I couldn't play a side with the house Illinois going to score with Sotowski quarterback. Yeah, that's a, that's a problem. So I look, I look under, I don't know, I came to a londoner as well here. I couldn't get involved inside.

How many people are going to tease Minnesota and the under same game teaser? Exactly. Six point T's. But you said, did you put your Irish in column this week?

I did not. It did not. And I went, I actually watched a watch it back last night, the Notre Dame games BYU BYU has been a big disappointment to me this year. They really have.

I thought they could go and then I, I realized, you know, the team speed and in this, in the position they were in in that spot and Eugene was a tough one. And when they come back, they face a different quarterback with Utah State that, you know, people with their look ahead spot things can say that was a look ahead spot. But they didn't look good against Notre Dame. And I'm not taking anything away from Notre Dame, but I will say this as good as Michael Mayer is.

I think it was 12 targets, 11 catches, two touchdowns last week, just phenomenal. I still can't trust True Pine. I know it's Stanford's defense. I think Notre Dame's going to mall Stanford up front.

So that's why I was thinking maybe under because I don't think Stanford's going to score much. I just didn't want to lay 17 in a low scoring game. Now I could still wake up Saturday and have a feeling and lay double digit points. But I mean, you've always been on that one with Notre Dame in these kind of sleepwalk games against lesser competition, lane double digits.

So, but I just, I look at True Pine. I just can't, can't pull the trigger. And I, it's funny, you know, Notre Dame scorched the points and everybody squired it down about their office for an air. It's amazing when you give the guy a couple weeks to try and assess things after they have all these injuries.

Yeah, I don't even know. Yeah, I actually get to a couple of full weeks of practices with ones and actually gets to develop a little bit of rapport with some people. It's amazing how like you get better, right? I mean, good God.

I want to name people. Root for your team. Root for your team. Everything, everything is instill.

I'm just trying to think about it. We touched, I touched on everything in those games. I wanted to. The SC game, I will say, that's why I leaned UCLA last week because this defense, I like to match up for Utah this week way better than I did last week because of UCLA's creatineness and physicality up front in the run game.

Utah matches up better because they have a better secondary against those SC receivers and they're at home in the crowd will be a factor. And I said it on daily wage with the other day. This is SC third road game, but it's really their second because when you have a road game in Palo Alto, you count that as a home game. The library like atmosphere Stanford stadium.

Yeah, so running down is Texas to give it to many points? Yeah, I wonder about them this week. They got the game in still water next week. I can't bet I was saying, I mean, you can't bet that team.

I can't bet that team. I can't get the quarterback. It's terrible. The cancel point.

It's just a it's a disease in the state. A good offense is a disease in the state of Iowa at the at the FPS level. So I don't know how you can back Iowa State. They're defensively, they're good, but I don't know how they score, but I don't know if I jumped towards Texas just because of the game this week.

I heard a stat like it's which is pretty telling. And I think it was Paul Stone the other day on with with with Mr. Paul, you brought it up and I kind of mad at him come up with it on my own. Like if you look at Texas's play, their points per drive, like yards per play with viewers quarterback and compare it to what Ohio State is on the season, like it's better than Ohio State season.

So I know it's a small example. I know the opponents haven't necessarily been great, but with him at the quarterback, they're a much different team offensively. No doubt. It's a rest of the game in Mississippi State, Kentucky.

Yeah, I've heard anything about Levis. It sounds like he's going to play, but I don't know how effective he's going to be. And and when I think about Kentucky, right, we've talked about Kentucky and nauseam the past couple of years with stoops were huge fans of what they built there, but they can't rely on their offensive line for the first time. And I don't know how long and that game goes seven nothing last week, South Carolina, I fired live on South Carolina right away because it just Kentucky needed a perfect game in that instance.

No turnovers, definitely not a plot punt. So I Kentucky's in a tough spot here, man, because I think they go to Knoxville next week. And Mississippi State is playing as good a ball. Yeah, yeah, yeah.

So I'm sure people will be in a look at that spot there, but I can't take Kentucky in that instance, knowing how bad they looked. And I know I know I got to forget it, but the capability sounds like a receiver is going to be out to with a wrist hand issue. What would I have to give you to take Auburn plus the points? Oh, oh, oh, that's good.

Do you still believe it? Are you a believer in Ole Miss? If they were a stock, I would be holding them. I'm willing potentially to take a loss later in the year as a in case they do actually, I'm I'm more towards the non believer.

I guess I would say, but I certainly think that they won every game. They're easily going to lost to Kentucky. I'm not fully there. I'll put it to you that way.

I'm with you, but in the same instance, I'm not trying to take anything away from them. They've won every game they play. That's why you feel bad, kind of like Pupu and the fact that they're they're undefeated and here they are and they're a big favorite of Auburn. They got badness still coming up.

Yeah, I'll tell you right now, if the egg bowl is tomorrow, I'm taking Mississippi State. That's where I'm there. There. So Arkansas, BYU, this line's now even.

Pick them. That would tell me that Jefferson's going to play, which is monstrous, because we saw what they look last week without him. He does everything for that offense. That will be an interesting game.

But I like Arkansas if Jefferson's going to play for sure. What do you like in the enchantment ball with? I don't know if I've just made that up or if it actually is the land of enchantment in Mexico, New Mexico versus New Mexico State. New Mexico.

Lane six and a half in Las Cruises? I don't know. Yeah. I'll take the lane.

Oh, man, that's that's scary when I really looked at a given points with that team. But yeah, I would take the Lobos in that game. I also thought about North Carolina, but I can't. I can't with that defense.

And the run game looks worse. And that tells me the offensive line is getting worse. And now more is going to be put on Drake May's shoulders. So that's seven against Duke, who's come back to earth very quickly.

It's a stay away from me. I will say going back, I was going back and watching some some ACC quarterback because I was to talk right before the season, who's you know, all these quarterbacks NFL caliber. I think there's like three. I think Drake May is playing over what I expected.

Sam Hartman's doing what I expected and Schrader's playing what I expected. And everybody else is not with me on that. Clumsy fans are going to be mad at you for saying that. Come on.

Great. I'll show you the clips of why the throws will be in miss whether it's overthrows or anything. He's been better, but it's not it's not what you need to be a playoff team. I'll just say that.

All right. Historic week, man. I mean, it's going to be great. Historic week.

Second time ever three before he match ups with five and all about better. Same day. You've got CFP era 16 times. You've had a regular season match up between five and all better home teams of 115 of them.

LSU when it banned in 2019 was the only road team to win. So typically these games have gone in favor of the home team. So we'll see. We'll see if that continues and he's big on the show.

And LSU Florida is non talked about game. Crazy. Crazy to think that's a maker break for season. We have major issue.

Yeah. Yeah. That's a game breaker for one totals because I think the winner gets the six. Uh, I think there were some sixes out there with LSU.

All right. Here's what I said. The winner has a possibility at the seven. The loser does not.

I don't see it. So take that for what it's worth. Big Mike. Happy recap.

All right. Big Mike. Happy recap. I am on Penn State plus the points.

Syracuse minus the points. Rice plus the points. Utah minus the points. TCU minus the points.

Fair U. Someone at the game before was talking to me and they wanted it like, oh, and how you have Mike sponsor the. I started laughing. I was like, big Mike is like Stanford skis uncle.

Like, I even just talking about how you need to recap your picks at the end of the pod. That's why we double the big Mike every recap. I mean, big Mike, big Mike wants to pay us some money to keep promoting every week. I mean, well, we'll, we'll, we'll take that.

But I was laughing at people actually. Someone actually thought that a big Mike is actually a company or somebody who was sponsoring the podcast. I got to kick out of that. But I'm going to have a battle down on minus the seven and a half.

I'm on TCU minus four. It's a glum state. I'm on South Florida plus the 12 against Duane. I'm thinking about East Carolina.

Probably look at an Illinois team tour under one of those get posted as well. Very good. That'll do it. Very incredible this year.

We got a little bit of heater going the last couple of weeks, nine, two and one. What do you want? 20, 20, 20, 20, 22 and nine. First I went three weeks on the freaking board last week.

I'm so mad at my softcase. I had, I had Notre Dame out there against BYU and then I was like, Oh, closing line value with Virginia. Let me take Virginia and yeah, that worked out. Right.

You take your, you take your C. I'll be and put it in chair of pan C. All the dumpster led about fire. Always going to first depression.

Very good. All right. My man. Travel safe.

We'll talk soon. Take us away. Let's do that more. You can listen to follow the Stanford Steven the Bear podcast.

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