EPISODE · May 30, 2026 · 52 MIN
E13 - Business is poker, not chess
from Thinking With Books · host Oktay Yildiz
In this episode, we explore Annie Duke's Thinking in Bets to uncover why a great decision is defined by the quality of its process rather than its final outcome. We discuss how to navigate uncertainty by separating skill from luck, overcoming self-serving bias, and treating your strategic choices like poker hands instead of a chess match. Tune in to learn how to build a truth-seeking pod, run effective pre-mortems, and adopt the long-game mindset necessary to consistently make better bets in business and life.
What this episode covers
In this episode, we explore Annie Duke's Thinking in Bets to uncover why a great decision is defined by the quality of its process rather than its final outcome. We discuss how to navigate uncertainty by separating skill from luck, overcoming self-serving bias, and treating your strategic choices like poker hands instead of a chess match. Tune in to learn how to build a truth-seeking pod, run effective pre-mortems, and adopt the long-game mindset necessary to consistently make better bets in business and life.
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E13 - Business is poker, not chess
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