E228 – Decoding Q2 Canadian Bank Earnings

In this special episode, Sohrab Movahedi, Chris Heakes, and Daniel Stanley break down the second quarter earnings from Canada’s “Big Six,” recapping the recent results and ongoing challenges. They also discuss loan-loss provisions, central bank policy, and reasons for a more optimistic outlook. Daniel Stanley is the Managing Director and Co-Head of Institutional Distribution at BMO Global Asset Management. He is joined on the podcast by Chris Heakes, Portfolio Manager and ETF Specialist, BMO Global Asset Management and Sohrab Movahedi, Managing Director, Financials Research, BMO Capital Markets. This episode was recorded on Monday, June 10, 2024. ETFs mentioned in the podcast: BMO Equal Weight Banks Index ETF (Ticker: ZEB) BMO Covered Call Canadian Banks ETF (Ticker: ZWB) BMO Equal Weight US Banks Hedged to CAD Index ETF (Ticker: ZUB) BMO Equal Weight US Banks Index ETF (Ticker: ZBK) Looking back to the past five rate cut experiences as a guide, in the six months following the first GIC outflow, the S&P TSX Bank Composite Index has tended to outperform the S&P TSX Composite by an average of ~1,100 basis points. BMO Capital Markets, as of June 10, 2024. The average yield for Canadian Banks was 5%, BMO Global Asset Management and Bloomberg, as of Monday, June 10, 2024. Disclaimers: Standard Deviation: A measure of risk in terms of the volatility of returns. It represents the historical level of volatility in returns over set periods. A lower standard deviation means the returns have historically been less volatile and vice-versa. Historical volatility may not be indicative of future volatility. The viewpoints expressed by the Portfolio Manager represent their assessment of the markets at the time of publication. Those views are subject to change without notice at any time. The information contained herein is not, and should not be construed as, investment, tax or legal advice to any party. Investments should be evaluated relative to the individual’s investment objectives and professional advice should be obtained with respect to any circumstance. Any statement that necessarily depends on future events may be a forward-looking statement. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of performance. Any statement that necessarily depends on future events may be a forward-looking statement. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of performance. They involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Although such statements are based on assumptions that are believed to be reasonable, there can be no assurance that actual results will not differ materially from expectations. Investors are cautioned not to rely unduly on any forward-looking statements. In connection with any forward-looking statements, investors should carefully consider the areas of risk described in the most recent prospectus. Commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with investments in exchange traded funds. Please read the ETF Facts or prospectus of the BMO ETFs before investing. Exchange traded funds are not guaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated. For a summary of the risks of an investment in the BMO ETFs, please see the specific risks set out in the BMO ETF’s prospectus. BMO ETFs trade like stocks, fluctuate in market value and may trade at a discount to their net asset value, which may increase the risk of loss. Distributions are not guaranteed and are subject to change and/or elimination. This podcast is for information purposes. The information contained herein is not, and should not be construed as, investment, tax or legal advice to any party. Particular investments and/or trading strategies should be evaluated relative to the individual’s investment objectives and professional advice should be obtained with respect to any circumstance. “BMO (M-bar roundel symbol)” is a registered trademark of Bank of Montreal, used under licence.