Effectively Wild Episode 1726: Hit, Stand, or Surrender

Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about the one-for-one A’s-Marlins swap involving Starling Marte and Jesús Luzardo, Marte’s underrated career, and Miami’s enviable pitching stockpile, then discuss the circumstances surrounding a potential trade of Max Scherzer. After that (35:21), they talk to FiveThirtyEight senior writer Neil Paine about the factors that affect whether teams add or subtract at the trade deadline, Neil’s “Doyle Number” metric for assessing trade-season incentives, how this year’s unusual playoff picture has created unusual deadline conditions, and specific teams that should or shouldn’t be motivated to make moves. Audio intro: Guided By Voices, "Bellicose Starling" Audio interstitial: Modest Mouse, "Bankrupt on Selling" Audio outro: Arthur Brown, "Come and Buy" Link to Marte WAR comparison Link to Zach Kram on trading top prospects Link to Ken Rosenthal on the Scherzer talks Link to Jay Jaffe on the Nationals Link to story on Scherzer’s contract Link to “Doyle Number” articles Link to Jayson Stark on execs at the deadline Link to 2021 “Doyle Number” data Link to Rob Arthur on the playoff picture Link to Neil’s “Hall of Good” series Link to FiveThirtyEight’s forecast history Link to Neil’s research on true talent Link to Hot Takedown podcast  iTunes Feed (Please rate and review us!)  Sponsor Us on Patreon  Facebook Group  Effectively Wild Wiki  Twitter Account  Get Our Merch!  Email Us: [email protected] var SERVER_DATA = Object.assign(SERVER_DATA || {}); Source