Effectively Wild Episode 2116: Too Close to Hall

Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley follow up on the contract over/unders draft and the “death ball,” banter about the signings of Rhys Hoskins and Matt Moore, weigh their current confidence levels in the A’s actually moving to Las Vegas, and consider a suggestion for a “pulling the goalie”-style tweak to baseball. Then (35:44) they talk to leading Hall of Fame election forecaster Jason Sardell about how and why he developed his probabilistic Cooperstown projection model, how it works, this year’s results and surprises, the public-private ballot split, the toughest players to project, his Hall of Fame philosophy, the shrinking of the Hall of Fame backlog, upcoming candidates and ballots, his non-baseball scientific pursuits, and much more. Audio intro: Jimmy Kramer, “Effectively Wild Theme” Audio outro: Xavier LeBlanc, “Effectively Wild Theme” Link to over/under draft results Link to MLBTR FA top 50 Link to death ball BP article Link to Leo on average fastballs Link to post on unique pitches Link to Dead Man’s Curve wiki Link to Davy Andrews on Hoskins Link to Brewers offseason additions Link to MLBTR on Moore Link to BP’s 2012 Top 101 Link to Ben on pitching prospects Link to 2023 team RP ranks Link to A’s update Link to A’s payments Link to Vegas event video Link to MLBTR on the A’s ballpark Link to “consequences” tweet Link to Meg on the penalty box Link to Beltré video Link to Mauer video Link to Helton video Link to Jason’s final projections Link to 2024 projections roundup Link to 2023 projections roundup Link to voting results Link to Jay’s ballot breakdown Link to Lewie Pollis on the voting Link to Wagner interview Link to Stark on Wright Link to Posnanski suggestion Link to SIS on Sabathia Link to ballot tracker Link to Thibodaux on EW Link to Jason on MLB Network Link to Ben on Mauer in 2018 Link to Ben on Beltré in 2017 Link to Ben on Hall of Framers  Sponsor Us on Patreon  Facebook Group  Twitter Account  EW Subreddit  Effectively Wild Wiki  iTunes Feed (Please rate and review us!)  Get Our Merch!  Email Us: [email protected] var SERVER_DATA = Object.assign(SERVER_DATA || {}); Source