Election Day! Presidential Polls Promote Instead of Predict Presidential Outcomes #33 episode artwork

EPISODE · Nov 3, 2020 · 35 MIN

Election Day! Presidential Polls Promote Instead of Predict Presidential Outcomes #33

from The Chris Abraham Show · host Chris Abraham

When Trump wins in a day, a week, a month, we'll finally be able to admit to ourselves as Americans that presidential polling and reporting are more a promotional and a civics steering method than it as an actual, neutral, scientific, honest prediction of what will actually happen. And, it's strangely based on jinxing the election in a he who shall not be named sort of way: Donald Lord Voldemort Trump shall be vanquished no matter what. At least be honest about it.  Lord Voldemort is a sobriquet for Tom Marvolo Riddle, a fictional character and the main antagonist in J. K. Rowling's series of Harry Potter novels. Voldemort first appeared in Harry Potter and the Philosopher's Stone, which was published in 1997. The shy Trump factor is a name given by American opinion polling companies to a phenomenon first observed by psephologists in the early 1990s. They observed that the share of the electoral vote won by the Conservative Party was significantly higher than the equivalent share in opinion polls. The shy Tory factor is a name given by British opinion polling companies to a phenomenon first observed by psephologists in the early 1990s. They observed that the share of the electoral vote won by the Conservative Party was significantly higher than the equivalent share in opinion polls.

When Trump wins in a day, a week, a month, we'll finally be able to admit to ourselves as Americans that presidential polling and reporting are more a promotional and a civics steering method than it as an actual, neutral, scientific, honest prediction of what will actually happen. And, it's strangely based on jinxing the election in a he who shall not be named sort of way: Donald Lord Voldemort Trump shall be vanquished no matter what. At least be honest about it.  Lord Voldemort is a sobriquet for Tom Marvolo Riddle, a fictional character and the main antagonist in J. K. Rowling's series of Harry Potter novels. Voldemort first appeared in Harry Potter and the Philosopher's Stone, which was published in 1997. The shy Trump factor is a name given by American opinion polling companies to a phenomenon first observed by psephologists in the early 1990s. They observed that the share of the electoral vote won by the Conservative Party was significantly higher than the equivalent share in opinion polls. The shy Tory factor is a name given by British opinion polling companies to a phenomenon first observed by psephologists in the early 1990s. They observed that the share of the electoral vote won by the Conservative Party was significantly higher than the equivalent share in opinion polls.

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Election Day! Presidential Polls Promote Instead of Predict Presidential Outcomes #33

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This episode was published on November 3, 2020.

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When Trump wins in a day, a week, a month, we'll finally be able to admit to ourselves as Americans that presidential polling and reporting are more a promotional and a civics steering method than it as an actual, neutral, scientific, honest...

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