Ep 175: Hope and Despair — What Exactly Goes Into Models for Predicting Sports Outcomes?

Rafe goes solo, discussing wagering on sports situations, namely the NCAA tournament and going for 2 and going for it on fourth down in football.After some considerations he concludes that the things we really need in sports betting models are Hope and Despair, two of the many things that the we cannot measure and that the materialists refuse to entertain.*****As always, you can reach the Buf at [email protected]*****As you know, this is an independent podcast so your hosts also carry all the expenses of running this podcast.  As such, some of you have asked how you can help out.  Well, here's the answer: support us on Buy Me a Coffee:https://buymeacoffee.com/bufnagleOn this page, you can do a really nice thing like send us a couple dollars to help cover the cost of recording and hosting and microphones and research and all that.  Any little bit really helps!  Thank you in advance!!!