Ep. 361: One Nation's Soft Vote and the Secret Harbour By-Election | Australia's Labor Podcast

This episode of Socially Democratic is a special two-parter recorded on the eve of the ALP National Conference in Adelaide.Part one: pollster John Armitage from Qdos Research joins Stephen for a mid-year federal check-in. One Nation is at 30% in Newspoll. The Liberals have collapsed to 19%. And the swing is coming from women.Part two: Priya Brown from GRA Partners breaks down the Secret Harbour by-election in WA: a long winter campaign in a mortgage-belt seat that One Nation has firmly in its sights.📊 One Nation at 30%: what it means on two-party preferred, and why the vote is still soft🏛️ Why the Liberals going One Nation-lite is electoral suicide🧭 Competent vs caring: how voters see Albanese, Taylor, and Hanson👩 Why Labor is losing women to One Nation, and how to get them back🗺️ Secret Harbour: demographics, redrawn boundaries, and One Nation's perfect test seat🏆 Why Labor's campaign machine gives them the edge in a long winter by-electionDon't miss this ep.Socially Democratic is an Australian Labor politics and campaigns podcast with expert guests. New episodes every Friday.#AustralianPoliticsPodcast #AusPol #AustralianPolitics #LaborParty #ALP #AustralianLabor #ProgressivePolitics #SocialDemocracy #Podcast #CurrentAffairs #OneNation #PaulineHanson #Polling #Newspoll #JohnArmitage #KudosResearch #SecretHarbour #WesternAustralia #WAPolitics #PriyaPatelBrown #WomenVoters #MortgageBelt #FIFOWorkers #LiberalParty #AngusT aylor #AnthonyAlbanese #Elections #Campaigns #Strategy #CoalitionSupport the showSocially Democratic is an opinion-based political and campaign podcast that facilitates discussion on a range of topical issues. The opinions of guests are not an endorsement and do not necessarily reflect the views of the staff at Dunn Street and Socially Democratic.Access ad-free episodes and send in questions by joining our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/SociallyDemocraticIf you like the show, rate and review us on your favourite podcast app.Follow Us on Socials:Facebook (https://tr.ee/9jGIOy)Instagram (https://www.instagram.com/sociallydemocratic)LinkedIn (https://tr.ee/YxyYJh)X (https://x.com/SocialDemPod)YouTube (https://www.youtube.com/@DunnStreet)The presenting sponsor of the Socially Democratic podcast is Dunn Street. For more information on how Dunn Street can help you organise to build winning campaigns in your community, business or organisation, and make the world a better place, look us up at: dunnstreet.com.au