EP208: Bayesian Orchestration for Overconfident AI Agents

Title: Position: agentic AI orchestration should be Bayes-consistentSource: http://arxiv.org/abs/2605.00742v1Summary:This position paper establishes a novel theoretical foundation for agentic AI by arguing that the orchestration layer must be Bayes-consistent to handle uncertainty in complex decision-making. It provides a formal framework for belief-updating and utility-aware action selection, which are essential primitives for reliable agentic reasoning loops.