EPISODE · Jan 6, 2026 · 5 MIN
Episode 12: Which Sunbelt Markets Are Finally Recovering?
from Hot Not CRE · host Hot Not CRE
Welcome back to What's Hot & What's Not CRE — your daily pulse on commercial real estate in America.Today we're diving into the regional picture for January 2026. The Sunbelt oversupply story has dominated headlines for two years — but is the tide finally turning?🔥 What's Hot:Texas Triangle Showing Signs of Life — DFW leading recovery, Houston stabilizing, San Antonio outperformingFlorida Coastal Markets Resilient — Miami & Fort Lauderdale defying gravity; international capital + migrationNashville Turning the Corner — Absorption surprisingly strong; rent growth expected by mid-2026Carolinas Stabilizing — Charlotte & Raleigh working through inventory; Class B outperforming Class AAustin Still Struggling — Vacancy above 10%; rent declines 4-6%; recovery not until late 2026Phoenix Oversupply Lingers — Heavy concessions; full recovery likely 2027Las Vegas Lagging — Overbuilt during pandemic boom; continued softness through 2026Atlanta Suburban Glut — Urban core fine, but suburban submarkets drowning in Class A supply❄️ What's Not:Takeaway: Texas and Florida are leading the rebound, Nashville is surprising to the upside, but Austin and Phoenix still have work to do.Thanks for tuning in. See you tomorrow! Don't forget to Like, Share and Subscribe! Visit hotnotcre.com to learn more and subscribe to our newsletter.
What this episode covers
Welcome back to What's Hot & What's Not CRE — your daily pulse on commercial real estate in America.Today we're diving into the regional picture for January 2026. The Sunbelt oversupply story has dominated headlines for two years — but is the tide finally turning?🔥 What's Hot:Texas Triangle Showing Signs of Life — DFW leading recovery, Houston stabilizing, San Antonio outperformingFlorida Coastal Markets Resilient — Miami & Fort Lauderdale defying gravity; international capital + migrationNashville Turning the Corner — Absorption surprisingly strong; rent growth expected by mid-2026Carolinas Stabilizing — Charlotte & Raleigh working through inventory; Class B outperforming Class AAustin Still Struggling — Vacancy above 10%; rent declines 4-6%; recovery not until late 2026Phoenix Oversupply Lingers — Heavy concessions; full recovery likely 2027Las Vegas Lagging — Overbuilt during pandemic boom; continued softness through 2026Atlanta Suburban Glut — Urban core fine, but suburban submarkets drowning in Class A supply❄️ What's Not:Takeaway: Texas and Florida are leading the rebound, Nashville is surprising to the upside, but Austin and Phoenix still have work to do.Thanks for tuning in. See you tomorrow! Don't forget to Like, Share and Subscribe! Visit hotnotcre.com to learn more and subscribe to our newsletter.
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Episode 12: Which Sunbelt Markets Are Finally Recovering?
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