EPISODE · Jan 15, 2026 · 4 MIN
Episode 19: The #1 Apartment Class Smart Money Is Buying in 2026
from Hot Not CRE · host Hot Not CRE
Welcome back to What's Hot & What's Not CRE — your daily pulse on commercial real estate in America. It's Thursday, January 15th, 2026.🔥 What's Hot — Class B Wins 2026:Class B Workforce Housing Outperforming — Better occupancy, healthier renewals, steady leasing velocity while national vacancy sits at ~8.5%Institutional Capital Flooding In — Affordability crisis is structural; millennials/Gen Z delaying homeownership; workforce housing is the primary institutional targetRent Growth Advantage — Workforce/mid-tier expected to outperform luxury on rent growth; Midwest leading with balanced fundamentalsSupply Constraint Protects Class B — ~450K units delivering in 2026 (down 45% from peak), but new construction only pencils as luxury — protecting existing Class B❄️ What's Not:Class A Luxury Struggling — Four/five-star properties saw -0.4% rent decline in 2025; competing hardest on price/incentives; won't normalize until 2027-2028Sun Belt Class A Headwinds — Austin, Phoenix, Nashville, Miami, Orlando face supply overhangs; conservative assumptions essentialClass C Execution Risk — Attractive cap rates but elevated expenses, insurance up 25-40%, higher bad debt; only for experienced operators📊 Why It Matters:Multifamily is gradually recovering as supply slows, but it's not uniform. Class B benefits from structural demand: affordability challenges, delayed homeownership, deep renter pool. Class A working through oversupply. Class C requires specialized expertise.💡 Investor Takeaway:Buy Class B in supply-constrained secondary markets, especially Midwest. Target value-add with operational upside. Avoid new Class A in oversupplied Sun Belt until concessions clear. Class B is the sleep-at-night trade for 2026.Thanks for tuning in. See you tomorrow! Don't forget to Like, Share and Subscribe!Visit hotnotcre.com to learn more and subscribe to our newsletter.
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Episode 19: The #1 Apartment Class Smart Money Is Buying in 2026
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