Episode #35 - When Gut Beats the Model

In this episode, Vishal dives into the surprising science of expert intuition showing how, in uncertain and fast-moving environments, trained gut instincts often outperform even the most complex models. Drawing from the work of Gerd Gigerenzer and Gary Klein, you’ll learn when to lean on heuristics, how recognition-primed decisions work in high-stakes settings, and why a hybrid approach of data + judgment might be your sharpest strategic tool.References:1) Heuristic Decision Making: https://www.annualreviews.org/doi/10.1146/annurev-psych-120709-1453462) Why Biased Minds Make Better Inferences: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/j.1756-8765.2009.01062.x3) How People Make Decisions: https://mitpress.mit.edu/9780262611466/sources-of-power/4) Human-AI Hybrid Decision Making Outperforms Standalone Models: https://hdsr.mitpress.mit.edu/pub/3rvlzjtw5) Recognition-Primed Decision Model: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Recognition-primed_decision_modelMusic Credit: Switch It Up, performed by Silent Partner, from the YouTube Studio Audio Library