Expensive Market. AI Backlash. Are Investors Pricing the Wrong Risk? | 6 Things We Learned This Week episode artwork

EPISODE · Jul 5, 2026 · 39 MIN

Expensive Market. AI Backlash. Are Investors Pricing the Wrong Risk? | 6 Things We Learned This Week

from Two Quants and a Financial Planner · host Excess Returns

Jack Forehand and Matt Zeigler break down the biggest investing ideas from the week, including the AI bull market, data center backlash, semiconductor cyclicality, US stock market dominance and long-term market history. The episode features clips from Warren Pies, Meb Faber, Kai Wu and Ritavan on how investors should think about model progress, valuation, bear markets, moats, strategy and global diversification.Main topics coveredWhy political backlash against AI data centers may become a bigger risk than open source competitionHow Sam Altman, Dario Amodei and AI lab leaders are shaping the public narrative around artificial intelligenceWhy model progress, enterprise AI adoption and compute demand remain central to the AI bull marketMeb Faber on 250 years of US market history and the power of long-term compoundingWhy expensive US stock valuations can coexist with long-term optimism about AmericaHow bear markets reset speculative excess and why younger investors may benefit from future declinesWarren Pies on whether semiconductors are being priced like a less cyclical industryWhy peak margins and low valuation multiples can be misleading in cyclical businessesKai Wu and Ritavan on how AI changes moats, code, proprietary data and corporate strategyThe System Gambit framework and why old checklists can fail when the game changesHow investors should think about US versus international markets across decades and centuriesWhy future diversification may depend on where the next great innovation sandbox emergesTimestamps00:00 Intro and weekly lineup04:00 AI data centers, politics and the PR problem09:18 Meb Faber on US market history and bear markets14:44 Are semiconductors still cyclical?20:56 Kai Wu on code, AI and changing moats25:57 Ritavan on the System Gambit and the Ottoman Empire30:28 Meb Faber on US versus international stocks36:00 America as an innovation sandbox38:06 Closing thoughts and where to follow Excess Returns

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Expensive Market. AI Backlash. Are Investors Pricing the Wrong Risk? | 6 Things We Learned This Week

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