EPISODE · Jul 22, 2026 · 39 MIN
Experts vs dart throwing chimps
from Pomodoro Breaks · host Panigrahi Nirma
Can experts truly predict the future, or are they no better than dart-tossing chimpanzees? Philip Tetlock's landmark study deconstructs the illusion of expertise. By tracking 30,000 forecasts over twenty years, he reveals a startling truth: the most famous pundits are often the least accurate. Discover the secret divide between the big-idea hedgehogs and the cautious, self-critical foxes. This book is a definitive guide to understanding why experts fail and how we can finally keep score.
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