Fearing the Fade: Starting Pitcher Regression Candidates

Eno, Trevor, and DVR discuss a lengthy absence of Pablo López following a Grade 2 teres major strain, and wonder if Chase Burns' arrival in Cincinnati might come earlier than expected with Hunter Greene's return to the IL. Plus, they dig into the regression cases of several starting pitchers -- including the always puzzling Andrew Abbott, Kris Bubic, Casey Mize, and several others.Rundown0:42 Pablo Lopez: Out 8-12 Weeks6:18 An Opportunity for David Festa8:03 Hunter Greene Goes Back on the IL11:50 Another Attempt to Understand Andrew Abbott's Success19:29 2025 ERA v. Rest-of-Season Projections (OOPSY/ppERA)25:43 Nathan Eovaldi's Tendency to Lose Velocity In Season32:10 The Best Version of Casey Mize We've Seen?41:02 Tyler Mahle's Low K% Will Become a Problem44:14 Should You Worry About Jacob deGrom's Last Two Starts?48:30 Checking In on the Drag on the Baseball54:58 How Would Dynamic Daily Park Factors Impact Your Game Plan?Follow Eno on Bluesky: @enosarris.bsky.socialFollow DVR on Bluesky: @dvr.bsky.socialFollow Trevor on Bluesky: @iamtrevormay.bsky.sociale-mail: [email protected] our Discord: https://discord.gg/FyBa9f3wFeSubscribe to The Athletic: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrelsHosts: Derek VanRiper & Eno SarrisWith: Trevor MayProducer: Brian SmithExecutive Producer: Derek VanRiper Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.