Former UK Ambassador To Iran Warns: “No Sign Of A Spontaneous Uprising” After Tehran Strikes episode artwork

EPISODE · Mar 2, 2026 · 16 MIN

Former UK Ambassador To Iran Warns: “No Sign Of A Spontaneous Uprising” After Tehran Strikes

from Back of the Stand with Mark Saggers

Kevin O’Sullivan speaks to former British Ambassador to Iran Sir Nicholas Hopton about whether US and Israeli strikes can realistically trigger regime change in Tehran.Drawing on his time in post, Hopton says the Iranian regime is deeply unpopular but still resilient, warning there is currently “no sign” of a nationwide uprising despite isolated celebrations following the killing of senior figures. He estimates active regime support may sit between 10 and 20 per cent, but stresses that discontent does not automatically translate into revolution.He also cautions that while Iran’s military capabilities are no match for the United States and Israel in a prolonged conflict, Tehran could sustain staggered retaliation for days or even weeks. With oil markets under pressure and Gulf allies under fire, Hopton argues the key question is whether Washington has a clear endgame — and whether this confrontation ends in negotiation, escalation, or a drawn-out regional war. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

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